Chapter 3: Q16BP (page 188)

Using the expectations hypothesis theory for the term structure of interest rates, determine the expected return for securities with maturities of two, three, and four years based on the following data. Do an analysis similar to that in Table 6-6.
1-year T bill at the beginning of year 1
6%
1-year T bill at the beginning of year 2
7%
1-year T bill at the beginning of year 3
9%
1-year T bill at the beginning of year 4
11%

Short Answer

Expert verified

The interest rate will be 6.5% in the second year, 7.33% in the third year, and 8.25% in the fourth year.

Step by step solution

Calculation for T-bill having a maturity of 2 years

The interest rate will be 6.5%.

$\begin{array}{rcl} 2 - y e a r m a t u r i t y & = & \frac{(I n t e r e s t o f 1 - y e a r + I n t e r e s t o f 2 - y e a r)}{M a t u r i t y p e r i o d} \\ = & \frac{(6 % + 7 %)}{2} \\ = & 6.5 % \end{array}$

Calculation for T-bill having a maturity of 3 years

The interest rate will be 7.33%.

$\begin{array}{rcl} 3 - y e a r m a t u r i t y & = & \frac{(Interest of 1 - year + Interest of 2 - year + Interest of 3 - year)}{Maturity period} \\ = & \frac{(6 % + 7 % + 9 %)}{3} \\ = & 7.33 % \end{array}$

Calculation for T-bill having maturity of 4 years

The interest rate will be 8.25%.

$\begin{array}{rcl} 4 - y e a r m a t u r i t y & = & \frac{(Interest of 1 - year + Interest of 2 - year + Interest of 3 - year + Interest of 4 - year)}{Maturity period} \\ = & \frac{(6 % + 7 % + 9 % + 11 %)}{4} \\ = & 8.25 % \end{array}$

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1-year T bill at the beginning of year 1	6%
1-year T bill at the beginning of year 2	7%
1-year T bill at the beginning of year 3	9%
1-year T bill at the beginning of year 4	11%