Chapter 16: Problem 10
A shopping mall has four entrances, one on the North, one on the South, and two on the East. If you enter at random, shop, and then exit at random, what is the probability that you enter and exit on the same side of the mall?
Short Answer
Expert verified
The probability is 0.25, or 25%.
Step by step solution
01
Identify the Possible Entry Points
There are four entrances to the shopping mall, specifically one entrance on the North, one on the South, and two on the East.
02
Determine the Probability of Entering from Each Side
Each entrance has an equal probability of being chosen. Since there are 4 entrances, the probability of choosing any specific entrance is \( \frac{1}{4} \).
03
Identify the Possible Exit Points
Similar to the entrances, there are four exits: one on the North, one on the South, and two on the East.
04
Determine the Probability of Exiting from the Same Side as Entered
For each side, calculate the probability that you exit from the same side you entered. This requires considering each side separately.
05
Calculate Probability for Each Side Separately
For the North: Entering probability \( \frac{1}{4} \) and exiting from North \( \frac{1}{4} \). So, \( P(\text{North}\rightarrow\text{North}) = \frac{1}{4} \times \frac{1}{4} = \frac{1}{16} \). Repeat for South and East.
06
Combining probabilities for all sides
Since there are no exclusions, add up all the individual probabilities: \( P(\text{Same Side}) = \frac{1}{16} + \frac{1}{16} + \frac{1}{8} \). Note that for East, exiting from either of the two eastern doors is \( \frac{2}{4} = \frac{1}{2} \), hence \( \frac{1}{4} \times \frac{1}{2} = \frac{1}{8} \).
07
Final Calculation
Add up all the probabilities calculated: \[ \frac{1}{16} (\text{North}) + \frac{1}{16} (\text{South}) + \frac{1}{8} (\text{East}) = \frac{1}{16} + \frac{1}{16} + \frac{2}{16} = \frac{4}{16} = \frac{1}{4} = 0.25 \].
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Key Concepts
These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.
Probability Theory
Probability theory is a branch of mathematics that deals with the likelihood or chance of different outcomes. It helps us understand and quantify uncertainty. Probability is represented by values between 0 and 1. A probability of 0 means an event cannot happen, while a probability of 1 means it is certain to happen.
In the shopping mall problem, we used basic probability theory by calculating the chance of entering and exiting through specific doors. By considering all possible outcomes and dividing by the total number of options, we could determine the likelihood of each event.
This concept is foundational in areas such as statistics, game theory, and stochastic processes.
In the shopping mall problem, we used basic probability theory by calculating the chance of entering and exiting through specific doors. By considering all possible outcomes and dividing by the total number of options, we could determine the likelihood of each event.
This concept is foundational in areas such as statistics, game theory, and stochastic processes.
Random Variables
A random variable is a numerical representation of the outcomes of a random phenomenon. It assigns numerical values to each possible outcome of a random experiment.
For the mall example, the random variables could be the specific doors chosen for entering and exiting. Each door represents a possible outcome. If we designate North, South, and East as variables, we can analyze the problem by assigning probabilities to these events.
Random variables can be classified as discrete or continuous. In this exercise, our random variables (entrance and exit doors) are discrete since there are a limited number of options.
Understanding random variables helps in calculating and predicting probabilities for broader applications in fields like economics, engineering, and physical sciences.
For the mall example, the random variables could be the specific doors chosen for entering and exiting. Each door represents a possible outcome. If we designate North, South, and East as variables, we can analyze the problem by assigning probabilities to these events.
Random variables can be classified as discrete or continuous. In this exercise, our random variables (entrance and exit doors) are discrete since there are a limited number of options.
Understanding random variables helps in calculating and predicting probabilities for broader applications in fields like economics, engineering, and physical sciences.
Statistical Analysis
Statistical analysis involves the collection, analysis, interpretation, and presentation of data. It makes use of probability theory to draw inferences about a population based on sample data.
In our mall problem, we performed a straightforward statistical analysis to determine the probability of entering and exiting through the same door. By identifying all potential outcomes and their probabilities, we could combine these probabilities to reach a final result.
Statistical analysis is crucial in research, data science, and various industries. It allows for making data-driven decisions and understanding trends and patterns.
In our mall problem, we performed a straightforward statistical analysis to determine the probability of entering and exiting through the same door. By identifying all potential outcomes and their probabilities, we could combine these probabilities to reach a final result.
Statistical analysis is crucial in research, data science, and various industries. It allows for making data-driven decisions and understanding trends and patterns.
Combinatorics
Combinatorics is a branch of mathematics that deals with the counting, arrangement, and combination of objects. It is essential for solving problems involving probabilities and other areas in discrete mathematics.
In the shopping mall problem, combinatorics came into play when we considered the different ways of entering and exiting the mall. We counted the different combinations (enter-exit pairs) to find the desired probabilities.
Important concepts in combinatorics include permutations (ordering of objects) and combinations (selection of objects without regard to order). Mastering these concepts is beneficial for tackling complex probability problems and analyzing data effectively.
In the shopping mall problem, combinatorics came into play when we considered the different ways of entering and exiting the mall. We counted the different combinations (enter-exit pairs) to find the desired probabilities.
Important concepts in combinatorics include permutations (ordering of objects) and combinations (selection of objects without regard to order). Mastering these concepts is beneficial for tackling complex probability problems and analyzing data effectively.