Plot a graph of the binomial frequency function \(f(x)\) for the case \(n=6, p=\frac{1}{6}, q=\frac{5}{6}\), representing the probability of, say, \(x\) aces in 6 throws of a die. Also draw graphs of \(n f(x)\) as a function of \(x / n\), and of \(F(x)\). What is the probability of at least 2 aces out of 6 tosses of a die?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability of at least 2 aces is approximately 0.131.

Step by step solution

01

Define the Binomial Probability Function

The binomial probability function is given by \( f(x) = \binom{n}{x} p^x q^{n-x} \), where \( n \) is the number of trials, \( p \) is the probability of success, and \( q \) is the probability of failure. Here, \( n = 6 \), \( p = \frac{1}{6} \), and \( q = \frac{5}{6} \).
02

Calculate the Binomial Coefficients

Calculate \( \binom{6}{x} \) for every possible value of \( x \) from 0 to 6 using the formula \( \binom{n}{x} = \frac{n!}{x!(n-x)!} \).
03

Compute the Binomial Probabilities

For each \( x = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 \), compute \( f(x) \) using the formula \( f(x) = \binom{6}{x} (\frac{1}{6})^x (\frac{5}{6})^{6-x} \).
04

Plot the Binomial Probability Function

Plot \( f(x) \) as a function of \( x \). This graph represents the probability of obtaining \( x \) aces in 6 throws of a die.
05

Plot \( n f(x) \) against \( \frac{x}{n} \)

Calculate \( n f(x) \) for each \( x \) and plot it against \( \frac{x}{n} \). This will give another perspective of the binomial distribution's behavior.
06

Define the Cumulative Distribution Function

The cumulative distribution function \( F(x) \) is given by \( F(x) = P(X \leq x) \), which is the sum of all probabilities from 0 to \( x \).
07

Compute and Plot the Cumulative Distribution Function

Calculate \( F(x) \) for each \( x \) by summing \( f(0), f(1), ..., f(x) \). Plot \( F(x) \) as a function of \( x \).
08

Calculate the Probability of at least 2 Aces

The probability of obtaining at least 2 aces is \( P(X \geq 2) = 1 - P(X < 2) = 1 - (P(X = 0) + P(X = 1)) \). Use the previously computed values of \( f(x) \) for \( x = 0 \) and \( x = 1 \) to find the final answer.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability Function
The Binomial Probability Function describes the probability of obtaining a specific number of successes in a fixed number of trials of a binary experiment. The function is represented as follows:
\( f(x) = \binom{n}{x} p^x q^{n-x} \) Here, \( n \) is the number of trials, \( x \) is the number of successes, \( p \) is the probability of success in a single trial, and \( q \) (equal to \( 1 - p \)) is the probability of failure.
For instance, in the exercise where we throw a die 6 times (=6\therapy\text{\frac{1}{6}\text{\frac{5}{6})}).
To find the probability of, for example, getting exactly 2 aces (success), we substitute the values into the functional form:
<\( binom{6}{2}\frac{1}{6}^2\frac{5}{6}^4\)
This step-by-step calculation helps determine the likelihood of each possible number of aces from 0 to 6.
Cumulative Distribution Function
The Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF) for a binomial distribution calculates the probability that a random variable \(X\) is less than or equal to a certain value. It is represented by:

F(x) = P(X ≤ x)
To find the probability of having up to a particular number of successes, sum up the probabilities for all outcomes from 0 to that number.
For the example exercise, this means summing probabilities calculated by the probability function from 0 to x.
For instance, finding \(F(2)\) means calculating and summing \(f(0)\), \(f(1)\), and \(f(2)\) using the binomial probability function.
The cumulative probabilities build upon each other and give a comprehensive view of the distribution up to each point.
Binomial Coefficients
The Binomial Coefficient is a key component in the binomial probability function, represented by the symbol \( \binom{n}{x} \). It is calculated as:

\( \binom{n}{x} = \frac{n!}{x!(n-x)!} \)
This formula determines the number of ways to choose \( x \) successes out of \( n \) trials, taking into account the order of selection.
For example, when calculating probabilities for our die-throwing exercise, computing \( \binom{6}{2} \) would involve:

\( \binom{6}{2} = \frac{6!}{2!(6-2)!} \)

\( = \frac{6 \times 5 \times 4!}{2 \times 1 \times 4!} \)

= 15

These coefficients are essential in determining the individual probabilities used in the binomial distribution and the cumulative distribution function calculations.
Graph Plotting
Visualizing the Binomial Distribution through graph plotting helps understand the data and distribution properties.
In the described exercise, you effectively plot three different graphs:

  • The Binomial Probability Function (f(x)) against x:
    Displays the probability for each possible number of aces (successes).
  • nf(x) against x/n:
    Normalizes the distribution, making it easier to compare different binomial distributions.
  • The Cumulative Distribution Function (F(x)):
    Illustrates the accumulated probability up to each value of x.

Each of these graphs offers unique insights and helps compare how probabilities accumulate and distribute across different values of x. This comprehensive visual representation aids in better understanding binomial distribution behavior and data interpretation.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Suppose a 200 -page book has, on the average, one misprint every 10 pages. On about how many pages would you expect to find 2 misprints?

Using the normal approximation to the binomial distribution, and tables [or calculator for \(\phi(t)\) ], find the approximate probability of each of the following: Between 195 and 205 tails in 400 tosses of a coin.

(a) A candy vending machine is out of order. The probability that you get a candy bar (with or without the return of your quarter) is \(\frac{1}{2}\), the probability that you get your quarter back (with or without candy) is \(\frac{1}{3}\), and the probability that you get both the candy and your money back is \(\frac{1}{12}\). What is the probability that you get nothing at all? Sugrestion: Sketch a geometric diagram similar to Figure \(3.1\), indicate regions representing the various possibilities and their probabilities; then set up a four-point samplc space and the associated probabilities of the points. (b) Suppose you. put another quarter into the candy vending machine of part (a). Set up the 16-point sample space corresponding to the possible results of your two attempts to bu? a candy bar, and find the probability that you get two candy bars (and no money back): that you get no candy and lose both quarters; that you just get your money back both times.

'Two people are taking turns tossing a pair of coins; the first person to toss two alike wins. What are the probabilities of winning for the first player and for the second player? Himt: Although there are an infinite number of possibilities here (win on first turn, second turn, third turn, etc.), the sum of the probabilities is a geometric series which can be summed; see Chapter 1 if necessary.

A student claims in Problem \(1.5\) that if one child is a girl, the probability that both are girls is \(\frac{1}{2}\). Lise appropriate sample spaces to show what is wrong with the following argument: It doesn't matter whether the girl is the older child or the younger; in either case the probabitity is \(\frac{1}{2}\) that the other child is a girl.

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