Plot a graph of the binomial frequency function \(f(x)\) for the case \(n=6, p=\frac{1}{6}, q=\frac{5}{6}\), representing the probability of, say, \(x\) aces in 6 throws of a die. Also draw graphs of \(n f(x)\) as a function of \(x / n\), and of \(F(x)\). What is the probability of at least 2 aces out of 6 tosses of a die?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability of at least 2 aces is approximately 0.131.

Step by step solution

01

Define the Binomial Probability Function

The binomial probability function is given by \( f(x) = \binom{n}{x} p^x q^{n-x} \), where \( n \) is the number of trials, \( p \) is the probability of success, and \( q \) is the probability of failure. Here, \( n = 6 \), \( p = \frac{1}{6} \), and \( q = \frac{5}{6} \).
02

Calculate the Binomial Coefficients

Calculate \( \binom{6}{x} \) for every possible value of \( x \) from 0 to 6 using the formula \( \binom{n}{x} = \frac{n!}{x!(n-x)!} \).
03

Compute the Binomial Probabilities

For each \( x = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 \), compute \( f(x) \) using the formula \( f(x) = \binom{6}{x} (\frac{1}{6})^x (\frac{5}{6})^{6-x} \).
04

Plot the Binomial Probability Function

Plot \( f(x) \) as a function of \( x \). This graph represents the probability of obtaining \( x \) aces in 6 throws of a die.
05

Plot \( n f(x) \) against \( \frac{x}{n} \)

Calculate \( n f(x) \) for each \( x \) and plot it against \( \frac{x}{n} \). This will give another perspective of the binomial distribution's behavior.
06

Define the Cumulative Distribution Function

The cumulative distribution function \( F(x) \) is given by \( F(x) = P(X \leq x) \), which is the sum of all probabilities from 0 to \( x \).
07

Compute and Plot the Cumulative Distribution Function

Calculate \( F(x) \) for each \( x \) by summing \( f(0), f(1), ..., f(x) \). Plot \( F(x) \) as a function of \( x \).
08

Calculate the Probability of at least 2 Aces

The probability of obtaining at least 2 aces is \( P(X \geq 2) = 1 - P(X < 2) = 1 - (P(X = 0) + P(X = 1)) \). Use the previously computed values of \( f(x) \) for \( x = 0 \) and \( x = 1 \) to find the final answer.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability Function
The Binomial Probability Function describes the probability of obtaining a specific number of successes in a fixed number of trials of a binary experiment. The function is represented as follows:
\( f(x) = \binom{n}{x} p^x q^{n-x} \) Here, \( n \) is the number of trials, \( x \) is the number of successes, \( p \) is the probability of success in a single trial, and \( q \) (equal to \( 1 - p \)) is the probability of failure.
For instance, in the exercise where we throw a die 6 times (=6\therapy\text{\frac{1}{6}\text{\frac{5}{6})}).
To find the probability of, for example, getting exactly 2 aces (success), we substitute the values into the functional form:
<\( binom{6}{2}\frac{1}{6}^2\frac{5}{6}^4\)
This step-by-step calculation helps determine the likelihood of each possible number of aces from 0 to 6.
Cumulative Distribution Function
The Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF) for a binomial distribution calculates the probability that a random variable \(X\) is less than or equal to a certain value. It is represented by:

F(x) = P(X ≤ x)
To find the probability of having up to a particular number of successes, sum up the probabilities for all outcomes from 0 to that number.
For the example exercise, this means summing probabilities calculated by the probability function from 0 to x.
For instance, finding \(F(2)\) means calculating and summing \(f(0)\), \(f(1)\), and \(f(2)\) using the binomial probability function.
The cumulative probabilities build upon each other and give a comprehensive view of the distribution up to each point.
Binomial Coefficients
The Binomial Coefficient is a key component in the binomial probability function, represented by the symbol \( \binom{n}{x} \). It is calculated as:

\( \binom{n}{x} = \frac{n!}{x!(n-x)!} \)
This formula determines the number of ways to choose \( x \) successes out of \( n \) trials, taking into account the order of selection.
For example, when calculating probabilities for our die-throwing exercise, computing \( \binom{6}{2} \) would involve:

\( \binom{6}{2} = \frac{6!}{2!(6-2)!} \)

\( = \frac{6 \times 5 \times 4!}{2 \times 1 \times 4!} \)

= 15

These coefficients are essential in determining the individual probabilities used in the binomial distribution and the cumulative distribution function calculations.
Graph Plotting
Visualizing the Binomial Distribution through graph plotting helps understand the data and distribution properties.
In the described exercise, you effectively plot three different graphs:

  • The Binomial Probability Function (f(x)) against x:
    Displays the probability for each possible number of aces (successes).
  • nf(x) against x/n:
    Normalizes the distribution, making it easier to compare different binomial distributions.
  • The Cumulative Distribution Function (F(x)):
    Illustrates the accumulated probability up to each value of x.

Each of these graphs offers unique insights and helps compare how probabilities accumulate and distribute across different values of x. This comprehensive visual representation aids in better understanding binomial distribution behavior and data interpretation.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Given a family of two children (assume boys and girls equally likely, that is, probability \(\frac{1}{2}\) for each), what is the probability that both are boys? That at least one is a girl? Given that at least one is a girl, what is the probability that both are girls? Given that the first two are giris, what is the probability that an expected third child will be a boy?

A shopping mall has four entrances, one on the North, one on the South, and two on the East. If you enter at random, shop, and then exit at random, what is the probability that you enter and exit on the same side of the mall?

(a) Suppose you have two quarters and a dime in your left pocket and two dimes and three quarters in your right pocket. You select a pocket at random and from it a coin at random. What is the probability that it is a dime? (b) Let \(x\) be the amount of money you select. Find \(E(x)\). (c) Suppose you selected a dime in (a). What is the probability that it came from your right pocket? (d) Suppose you do not replace the dime, but select another coin which is also a dime. What is the probability that this second coin came from your right pocket?

(a) Write the binomial distribution formula for the probability that 3 comes up exactly 125 times in 720 tosses of a die. (b) Using the normal approximation and tables or calculator, find the approximate answer to (a). (c) Using the normal approximation, find the approximate probability that 3 comes up between 115 and 130 times.

What is the probability of getting the sequence hhhttt in six tosses of a coin? If you know the first three are heads, what is the probability that the last three are tails? If you don't know anything about the first threc, what is the probability that the last three are tails?

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