Suppose that the economy is currently at potential output. Also suppose that you are an economic policy maker and that a college economics student asks you to rank, if possible, your most preferred to least preferred type of shock: positive demand shock, negative demand shock, positive supply shock, negative supply shock. How would you rank them and why?

Short Answer

Expert verified
Based on the analysis of the different types of economic shocks (positive demand shock, negative demand shock, positive supply shock, and negative supply shock), rank them from most preferred to least preferred in terms of their impact on an economy at potential output.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding potential output

Potential output refers to the maximum output level that a country's economy can sustain over time without causing inflation to increase. It represents the long-term productive capacity of the economy. When an economy is at potential output, it means all the resources are being used efficiently and in a sustainable manner.
02

Positive demand shock

A positive demand shock occurs when there's an unexpected increase in demand for goods and services. This generally leads to higher output levels, increased prices, and higher employment. However, the short-term benefits might come at a cost of higher inflation in the long run, as firms need to adjust production levels and prices.
03

Negative demand shock

A negative demand shock refers to a sudden decrease in demand for goods and services. This typically results in lower output, a decrease in prices, and higher unemployment. The immediate consequences are unfavorable as the economy slows down, but if properly managed, inflation might remain stable in the long run.
04

Positive supply shock

A positive supply shock is an unexpected increase in the availability of goods and services in the market. This leads to lower prices, higher output, and possible an increase in employment. It improves the overall production efficiency and has the additional benefit of keeping inflation stable or decreasing.
05

Negative supply shock

A negative supply shock occurs when there's an unexpected decrease in the availability of goods and services in the market. This can be due to various reasons such as natural disasters or geopolitical events. Negative supply shocks typically lead to higher prices, decreased output, and increased unemployment. The effects are generally unfavorable, and it can also result in higher inflation levels.
06

Ranking the shocks

Based on the analysis above, we can rank the economic shocks from most preferred to least preferred as follows: 1. Positive supply shock: It enhances the production efficiency, increases output and employment while keeping inflation stable or decreasing. 2. Positive demand shock: Although it can lead to increased output and higher employment, it might cause higher inflation in the long run. 3. Negative demand shock: Despite the unfavorable consequences in terms of lower output and increased unemployment, it might still keep long-term inflation stable if properly managed. 4. Negative supply shock: It is the least preferred of the four as it leads to reduced output, increased unemployment, and a potential increase in inflation levels.

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with Vaia!

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

There were two major shocks to the U.S. economy in 2007, leading to the severe recession of \(2007-2009 .\) One shock was related to oil prices; the other was the slump in the housing market. This question analyzes the effect of these two shocks on GDP using the \(A D-A S\) framework. a. Draw typical aggregate demand and short-run aggregate supply curves. Label the horizontal axis "Real GDP" and the vertical axis "Aggregate price level." Label the equilibrium point \(E_{1}\), the equilibrium quantity \(Y_{1},\) and equilibrium price \(P_{1}\). b. Data taken from the Department of Energy indicate that the average price of crude oil in the world increased from \(\$ 54.63\) per barrel on January 5,2007 , to \(\$ 92.93\) on December 28,2007 . Would an increase in oil prices cause a demand shock or a supply shock? Redraw the diagram from part a to illustrate the effect of this shock by shifting the appropriate curve. c. The Housing Price Index, published by the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight, calculates that U.S. home prices fell by an average of \(3.0 \%\) in the 12 months between January 2007 and January 2008\. Would the fall in home prices cause a supply shock or demand shock? Redraw the diagram from part b to illustrate the effect of this shock by shifting the appropriate curve. Label the new equilibrium point \(E_{3}\), the equilibrium quantity \(Y_{3}\), and equilibrium price \(P_{3}\). d. Compare the equilibrium points \(E_{1}\) and \(E_{3}\) in your diagram for part \(c\). What was the effect of the two shocks on real GDP and the aggregate price level (increase, decrease, or indeterminate)?

The late 1990 s in the United States were characterized by substantial economic growth with low inflation; that is, real GDP increased with little, if any, increase in the aggregate price level. Explain this experience using aggregate demand and aggregate supply curves. Illustrate with a diagram.

Suppose that all households hold all their wealth in assets that automatically rise in value when the aggregate price level rises (an example of this is what is called an "inflation-indexed bond"-a bond whose interest rate, among other things, changes one-for-one with the inflation rate). What happens to the wealth effect of a change in the aggregate price level as a result of this allocation of assets? What happens to the slope of the aggregate demand curve? Will it still slope downward? Explain.

Using aggregate demand, short-run aggregate supply, and long-run aggregate supply curves, explain the process by which each of the following economic events will move the economy from one long-run macroeconomic equilibrium to another. Illustrate with diagrams. In each case, what are the short-run and long-run effects on the aggregate price level and aggregate output? a. There is a decrease in households' wealth due to a decline in the stock market. b. The government lowers taxes, leaving households with more disposable income, with no corresponding reduction in government purchases.

Your study partner is confused by the upward-sloping short-run aggregate supply curve and the vertical longrun aggregate supply curve. How would you explain this?

See all solutions

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.

Sign-up for free