Suppose you are building an economic model to forecast the number of people employed in U.S. manufacturing in 2024. Should your model take into account possible changes in economic policy enacted by the president and Congress? Briefly explain.

Short Answer

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Yes, an economic model forecasting the number of people employed in U.S. manufacturing should account for possible changes in economic policy enacted by the president and Congress due to the significant impact these policies can have on the economy, and specifically the manufacturing sector.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Role of Economic Models

An economic model is a simplified framework used for describing how the economy is expected to perform under given conditions. These models use a variety of inputs, or variables, to calculate their forecasts. The model would focus on factors such as the state of the economy, level of technology, labor supply, and such.
02

The Impact of Economic Policy

Economic policy can have a significant impact on the factors a model may consider, such as overall economic conditions, employment rates, and manufacturing sector performance. Any changes in economic policy enacted by the President and Congress such as tax changes, minimum wage laws, or trade policies, can significantly impact the manufacturing sector and consequently the employment in that sector.
03

Incorporating Economic Policy Changes into the Model

Given the impact that changes in economic policy can have, it would be beneficial to account for possible changes in economic policy enacted by the president and Congress in the model. However, it's important to note that predicting future policies is complex and uncertain, but potential major policy shifts and their potential impacts can and should be considered as possible scenarios within the model.

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