An article in the Wall Street Journal stated that a change in inventories "dragged down the overall growth in GDP by nearly a full percentage point" below what it otherwise would have been. For this result to have occurred, is it likely that inventories increased or decreased? Briefly explain.

Short Answer

Expert verified
It is likely that inventories decreased. Decrease in inventories means fewer goods are being produced, which results in lower GDP.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding GDP and Inventories

First, understand that GDP represents the total economic production of a country. Regarding inventories, they are considered part of GDP because they are goods that have been produced but not yet sold. Thus changes in inventories can affect the GDP.
02

Exploring Inventory Increase Impact

Consider an increase in inventories. If inventories are increasing, it means goods are being produced but not sold in the same period. This would represent 'unsold' economic activity, which is still included in GDP measurements. In normal circumstances, an increase in inventories contributes to the growth of GDP.
03

Exploring Inventory Decrease Impact

Now consider a decrease in inventories. Here, the production is less than what is being sold, or companies are selling goods that were part of their stock. This indicates that fewer goods are being produced in the current period, and thus GDP might be reduced.
04

Drawing Conclusion

From the above steps, it can be inferred that if inventories decreased, it could potentially cause a decrease in GDP as fewer goods are being produced. This coincides with the information from the statement which mentioned that changes in inventories dragged down GDP, so it is more likely that the inventories decreased.

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