Why do few economists believe it would be a good idea to balance the federal budget every year?

Government spending is a significant component of a country’s economic activity, influencing both short-term performance and long-term growth. When governments invest in sectors like infrastructure, healthcare, and education, these expenditures often yield returns in the form of a more educated workforce, better living conditions, and enhanced productivity.

For instance, building new roads or schools can create construction jobs, increase consumer spending, and improve access to education. This in turn can support the growth and development of various industries. However, raising taxes or cutting expenditure to balance a budget could stifle these positive effects by reducing disposable income and hindering investment and consumption.

From a macroeconomic perspective, increased government spending during a recession can help counteract a decline in private demand. This principle, known as fiscal stimulus, is a critical tool for governments to revive economic activity and prevent deeper downturns. In contrast, during periods of robust economic growth, governments may reduce spending or increase taxes to prevent overheating and inflationary pressures.

Fiscal policy flexibility refers to the government's ability to adjust its spending and tax policies in response to changing economic conditions. A rigid adherence to a balanced budget every year would strip policymakers of this flexibility, making it challenging to address the dynamic needs of the economy.

For example, during a recession, increasing public spending or decreasing taxes can provide a much-needed boost to the economy. This is known as counter-cyclical fiscal policy, which aims to work against the tide of economic fluctuations to stabilize the economy. Conversely, in times of strong economic growth, a government might implement pro-cyclical fiscal policies, such as saving surpluses or reducing public debt, to prepare for future downturns.

Flexibility in fiscal policy is not about avoiding fiscal responsibility but rather about prudent and strategic use of fiscal tools to maintain a healthy economy over the long term. This approach allows for adjustments based on economic conditions, rather than sticking to a rigid rule that may not be suitable for different phases of the economic cycle.

Economic fluctuations are natural occurrences in any economy, characterized by periods of expansion and contraction. A key role of the government is to respond to these changes in a way that minimizes negative impacts on its citizens.

During downturns, if a government is prevented from borrowing due to a mandate for a balanced budget, its capacity to stimulate the economy and safeguard jobs is severely hampered. An agile response, often involving deficit spending, can mitigate the severity of recessions by stimulating demand and providing social safety nets.

In contrast, during an economic upswing, governments can build surpluses and pay down debt, effectively 'smoothing out' the economic cycle. This counteracting approach helps to stabilize markets, maintain low unemployment, and sustain consumer and business confidence. Effective response to economic fluctuations is therefore critical for maintaining economic stability and is an indispensable component of a government’s toolkit for managing the economy.