As indicated in the chapter, the CBO forecast that real GDP would grow at an average annual rate of 1.9 percent from 2017 to 2027 . The Trump administration pledged to raise the growth rate to 3 percent, although some policymakers and economists were skeptical that this goal could be achieved. Yet from 1960 to \(1969,\) real GDP grew at an average annual rate of 4.5 percent. Briefly discuss the factors that make growth rates that high more difficult to achieve today.

Short Answer

Expert verified
High growth rates like the 4.5% from 1960 to 1969 are now more difficult to achieve due to factors like an ageing population, the maturity of current technology, and contemporary economic policies that prioritize sustainability and economic stability.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the historical context

First, the historical context of GDP growth should be understood. The GDP growth rate of 4.5 percent from 1960 to 1969 was high due to a number of distinct factors during that time period, such as the effects of post-war economic boom, technological innovation increases, and rapidly growing populations.
02

Identify Current Limitations

Next, it's important to identify the current constraints to achieving a high GDP growth. This can include factors like ageing populations, the maturity of current technology, and economic policies which could have potential impacts on growth.
03

Discuss Specific Factors

In the last step, discuss these factors in detail. The ageing population is a significant factor because it leads to a slower labor force growth, which can limit GDP growth. Technological maturity implies there may be less scope for groundbreaking innovations that significantly boost productivity. And current economic policies may not favor rapid growth, due to concerns about sustainability and economic stability.

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with Vaia!

Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Historical GDP Growth
Understanding historical GDP growth is crucial in grasping why modern economies may find it challenging to reach high growth rates experienced in the past, like the 4.5 percent annual rate from 1960 to 1969. The post-WWII era was a time of reconstruction and expansion for many economies, leading to what was termed as an economic boom.

During that period, a swell in the labor force due to the baby boom generation reaching working age, as well as significant advancements in technology and productivity, propelled economic growth. Suburbs expanded, consumer spending increased, and industries such as automotive and manufacturing thrived.

This historical context sets a backdrop that differs greatly from today's economic realities, where factors such as demographic changes, market saturation, and various forms of economic headwinds present more of a challenge to attaining such growth rates.
Economic Constraints
Currently, a variety of economic constraints can inhibit the potential GDP growth rate. An ageing population is one significant constraint as it results in a slower growth of the labor force, which in turn can dampen economic expansion. A smaller working-age population translates to less production and innovation, and potentially increases the burden on social services.

Other constraints include market saturation in various sectors, which means many products and services are already at a level of 'enough' in terms of consumer needs, leaving less room for explosive growth. Limits to natural resources and environmental issues also pose significant challenges, necessitating a focus on sustainable practices which may not always align with rapid economic expansion.

Moreover, the global economy's interconnectedness can also work as a limiting factor as economic downturns in one part of the world can have ripple effects elsewhere, making consistent high growth rates across all regions more difficult to achieve.
Technological Innovation
Technological innovation has historically been a key driver of economic growth, as seen during the 1960s. However, the argument goes that current technological advancements may not have the same econ-boosting impact. This is not to say that technological innovation isn't occurring, but rather that the nature of recent innovations might lead to less dramatic increases in productivity.

Today's technology sector is marked by rapid improvements in information technology, automation, and digitalization. While these advancements continue to transform how businesses operate and compete, the scale of productivity gains can be incremental as opposed to the large leaps seen in the past with the advent of, for instance, the automobile or widespread electricity use.

Hence, while technological innovation continues to contribute to economic growth, it might not single-handedly drive GDP growth rates to the high levels witnessed in the historical periods without parallel advances in other economic and policy domains.

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

In January 2017, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) noted that its "estimate of the deficit for 2017 has decreased since August 2016." The CBO also noted that its "economic forecast ... underlies its budget projections." a. Why would the CBO's forecast of future levels of GDP and employment matter for its forecasts of future federal budget deficits? b. If the federal budget deficit turns out to be smaller than expected, it is likely that economic growth was higher or lower than expected? Briefly explain.

Use a dynamic aggregate demand and aggregate supply graph to illustrate the change in macroeconomic equilibrium from 2021 to 2022 , assuming that the economy experiences deflation during 2022. In order for deflation to take place in 2022 , does the economy also have to be experiencing a recession? Briefly explain.

If Congress and the president decide that an expansionary fiscal policy is necessary, what changes should they make in government spending or taxes? What changes should they make if they decide that a contractionary fiscal policy is necessary?

In a column in the Financial Times, the prime minister and the finance minister of the Netherlands argued that the European Union, an organization of 28 countries in Europe, should appoint "a commissioner for budgetary discipline." They said that "the new commissioner should be given clear powers to set requirements for the budgetary policy of countries that run excessive deficits." What is an "excessive" budget deficit? Does judging whether a deficit is excessive depend in part on whether the country is in a recession? How can budgetary policies be used to reduce a budget deficit?

An article in the Wall Street Journal discussing the Trump administration's goal of increasing the annual rate of growth in real GDP to 3 percent noted, "Two stubborn obstacles stand in his way. The work force isn't producing enough new workers, and the productivity of those working isn'\operatorname{tg} r o w i n g ~ f a s t ~ e n o u g h . " ~ B r i e f l y ~ e x p l a i n ~ w h y ~ t h e s e ~ two factors are "obstacles" to attaining a higher growth rate.

See all solutions

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.

Sign-up for free