Suppose the federal government increases spending without also increasing taxes. In the short run, how will this action affect real GDP and the price level in a closed economy? How will the effects of this action differ in an open economy?

Short Answer

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In a closed economy, an increase in government spending without an increase in taxes leads to an increase in both real GDP and price level in the short run due to higher aggregate demand. In an open economy, while the real GDP might still increase, the effect could be less pronounced due to the impact on net exports. The price level could still rise, but maybe not as much as in a closed economy.

Step by step solution

01

Impact on a Closed Economy

In a closed economy, an increase in government expenditure results in an increased aggregate demand. This is because the government spending is a component of the total demand. As demand increases, firms increase their production to meet it, thereby raising the real GDP. The higher demand also leads to an increase in the price level due to the demand-pull inflation.
02

Impact on an Open Economy

In an open economy, the situation is a bit different. As the government increases its spending, the interest rates rise due to the increased demand for loanable funds. The high interest rates attract foreign investors. As a result, the local currency appreciates. This makes the exports expensive and imports cheaper, thereby reducing the net exports. Though the increase in government spending raises the aggregate demand, the reduction in net exports tends to lower it. So, the effect on real GDP might be less pronounced than that in a closed economy. The increased demand can still lead to a rise in the price level, but maybe by not as much as it would have in a closed economy due to counteracting effect of cheaper imports.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Closed Economy Impact
Understanding the impact of government spending on a closed economy is crucial for macroeconomic analysis. In this scenario, there are no international trades such as exports and imports to consider. When the government decides to increase spending without a rise in taxes, it directly injects funds into the economy, leading to increased aggregate demand.

How does this happen? The formula for calculating a country's GDP in a closed economy is given by: \( GDP = C + I + G \), where \(C\) stands for consumer spending, \(I\) denotes investment, and \(G\) represents government spending. An uptick in \(G\) drives the aggregate demand upward, prompting businesses to bolster their production to meet the higher demand, thus, boosting the real GDP. The downside is that this surge in spending also presses on the economy's capacity, potentially causing prices to rise – a phenomenon termed demand-pull inflation.
Open Economy Impact
Contrastingly, in an open economy where international trade plays a role, the effects of increased government spending unfold differently. Initially, the spike in government expenditure fuels aggregate demand, as it does in a closed economy. This is where factors unique to an open economy come into play: interest rates usually rise due to heightened demand for money and loanable funds.

The increase in interest rates begins to cause ripples across the global financial markets. Attractive interest rates pull in foreign capital, leading to the appreciation of the local currency. A stronger currency makes exports costlier and imports relatively cheaper, tipping the balance of trade and potentially decreasing net exports. This, in turn, could partially offset the initial boost in aggregate demand caused by government spending. Remarkably, the overall influence on real GDP might not be as stark as in a closed economy due to the interplay of international markets.
Aggregate Demand
Aggregate demand is the total amount of goods and services demanded across all levels of the economy at a given overall price level and in a given time period. It is represented by the equation \( AD = C + I + G + (X – M) \), where \(X – M\) stands for net exports. A hike in government spending, \(G\), contributes to a rise in AD.

This increment can lead to an increase in production and employment to satisfy the heightened demand. However, if the economy is already near or at full capacity, the increased demand might not result in a significant surge in output but rather an escalation in the general price level, laying the groundwork for inflation.
Demand-Pull Inflation
Demand-pull inflation emerges when the aggregate demand in an economy outweighs the aggregate supply, leading to an upsurge in the general price level. It's akin to having 'too much money chasing too few goods'.

When the government enhances its spending, it can intensify demand to such an extent that prices begin to climb. The higher prices often stem from the increased competition for goods, as more individuals and the government itself vie for the same products. It is a core concept in understanding inflation, and it underpins the rationale behind certain monetary policies aimed at controlling inflation by managing the levels of demand in the economy.
Interest Rates
Interest rates are a cornerstone of economic policy and have widespread implications across the economy. They are the cost of borrowing money, essentially the price tag on loanable funds.

With an increment in government spending without a corresponding tax increase, the government may need to borrow money, particularly if the spending leads to a budget deficit. Borrowing money increases the demand for loanable funds, which typically pushes the interest rates up. For individual consumers and businesses, higher interest rates might mean less borrowing for consumption and investment, which could temper the initial increase in aggregate demand that comes from higher government spending.
Currency Appreciation
Currency appreciation refers to the increase in the value of one currency relative to another in the foreign exchange markets. When a government ramps up its spending, and as interest rates ascend in response, investors often view the currency as more attractive, leading to increased demand for the currency.

Appreciation has mixed effects: it can help to contain inflation by making imports less expensive, which can be advantageous for consumers. On the flip side, it can present challenges for domestic exporters, as their goods become less competitive abroad. The strength of a currency is, therefore, a double-edged sword in global trade and economic dynamics.
Net Exports
Net exports describe the difference between what a country sells abroad (exports) and what it buys from abroad (imports). It's a critical component of a nation's GDP, particularly in an open economy.

In the context of increased government spending, if it results in a stronger domestic currency due to higher interest rates, the price of exports will rise, potentially diminishing foreign demand. Conversely, imports become cheaper, possibly leading to an increased import volume. The interplay between higher exports' prices and cheaper imports can result in negative net exports, which may dampen the positive impact government spending has on aggregate demand and, by extension, on real GDP.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Why does monetary policy have a greater effect on aggregate demand in an open economy than in a closed economy?

The late economist Herbert Stein described the accounts that comprise a country's balance of payments: A country is more likely to have a deficit in its current account the higher its price level, the higher its gross [domestic] product, the higher its interest rates, the lower its barriers to imports, and the more attractive its investment opportunities - all compared with conditions in other countries-and the higher its exchange rate. The effects of a change in one of these factors on the current account balance cannot be predicted without considering the effect on the other causal factors. a. Briefly describe the transactions included in a country's current account. b. Briefly explain why, compared to other countries, a country is more likely to have a deficit in its current account, holding other factors constant, if it has each of the following. i. A higher price level ii. An increase in interest rates iii. Lower barriers to imports iv. More attractive investment opportunities

What is the relationship among the current account, the financial account, and the balance of payments?

(Related to Solved Problem 29.1 on page 1034 ) An article on the Dow Jones Newswire in mid-2017 contained the following sentence: "The U.S. current- account deficit, a measure of trade and financial flows with foreign countries widened to \(\$ 116.78\) billion in the first quarter." Does a country's current account include any financial flows between that country and other countries? Does it include all financial flows between that country and other countries? Briefly explain.

In discussing the U.S. financial account surplus, a Wall Street Journal editorial made the following observations: [Much] of it goes to finance an investment shortfall in the U.S., especially government borrowing. Yet Americans are making millions of individual decisions about how much to save, and foreigners are not forcing Washington to borrow. If government weren't gobbling up that capital, more of it would go into the private economy. a. What does the editorial mean by an "investment shortfall in the United States"? In what sense does a financial account surplus finance that shortfall? b. What does the editorial mean by asserting that if the government weren't "gobbling up that capital," it would go into the private economy? c. Is there a connection between the federal budget deficit and the financial account surplus?

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