Briefly describe the four determinants of exchange rates in the long run.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The four determinants of exchange rates in the long run are 1) Relative price levels, 2) Net exports, 3) Productivity, and 4) Interest rates.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Relative Price Levels

The first determinant is relative price levels. In the long run, a country with a lower price level compared to another country will see its currency appreciate, as goods become less expensive relative to the goods in the foreign country. This is known as the theory of Purchasing Power Parity.
02

Evaluate the Net Exports

The second determinant is net exports. A trade surplus, meaning that the value of exports is greater than the value of imports, will cause an appreciation of the domestic currency. Conversely, a trade deficit will cause a depreciation of the domestic currency.
03

Look at the Productivity

Thirdly, productivity influences exchange rates. A country that experiences faster productivity growth than another country will see its currency appreciate. This is because higher productivity can lead to higher income and thus higher demand for the currency.
04

Discuss Interest Rates

Lastly, interest rates play a role. Higher domestic interest rates attract foreign investors which increases the demand for the domestic currency and causes its value to rise, while lower interest rates cause the domestic currency to depreciate as investors seek higher returns elsewhere.

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