Why might banks want to hold excess reserves in time of recession?

Excess reserves refer to the additional cash reserve held by banks beyond the minimum reserve requirement set by the central bank. The minimum reserve requirement is a regulatory requirement that ensures the stability and liquidity of the banking system, while excess reserves are optional and can range from zero to any amount a bank chooses to hold.

A recession is a significant decline in economic activity, lasting for at least two consecutive quarters. This usually involves several economic indicators, such as a decrease in real GDP (Gross Domestic Product), income, employment, industrial production, and retail sales. Recessions often result in increased unemployment, lower consumer spending, and tighter credit conditions.

During a recession, banks face several challenges, including increased credit risk (the risk of borrowers defaulting on their loans), reduced loan demand due to lower economic activity, and higher uncertainty in financial markets. Moreover, recessions can lead to decreases in asset values and overall confidence in the financial system, increasing the likelihood of financial crises or bank runs. All these factors affect banks' stability and profitability.

Banks may choose to hold excess reserves during a recession for several reasons: 1. **Liquidity Management**: Excess reserves can be used to meet unexpected withdrawals or other cash needs, which can help banks avoid having to sell assets at unfavorable prices or borrow from other banks or the central bank in times of stress. 2. **Credit Risk Mitigation**: By holding excess reserves, banks reduce the likelihood of lending to risky borrowers, which might default on their loans. This helps in maintaining the quality of their loan portfolio and reducing potential losses from bad loans. 3. **Uncertainty and Financial Market Volatility**: During a recession, there is usually higher uncertainty and financial market fluctuations. Banks could hold excess reserves to provide a buffer against potential losses arising from market volatility. 4. **Regulatory Requirements**: In some cases, regulators might require banks to hold additional capital or reserves during periods of economic turbulence. This can be a preemptive measure to enhance the stability and resilience of the banking system. 5. **Opportunity for Future Lending**: Holding excess reserves during a recession can position a bank to provide credit when the economic environment improves. By having additional liquidity, banks can quickly meet increasing loan demands during a recovery, gaining a competitive advantage.