How does an unanticipated decline in the price level cause a drop in lending?

Short Answer

Expert verified

If the price level drops unexpectedly, borrowing firms' liabilities are increased in real terms, which decreases their net worth. The result increases the problems of adverse selection and moral hazard facing lenders, which leads to a drop in lending.

Step by step solution

01

Definition

An unanticipated decline in the price level is causing the drop in lending. Because it is leading to a signal that the asset prices are falling and the lender will not be trying to lend in those situations when there will be a lower level of collateral which will be available in the entire system.

02

Explanation

Banks or financial institutions typically do asset-based lending. In asset-based lending, they take assets as the collateral and lend money against it (loan to value ratio).

The larger the value of the asset, the more will be the loan sanctioned against it.

Banks keep collateral to safeguard their interests.

If a loan becomes nonperforming, the banks will take hold of that asset & will sell it in the market to recover their dues.

By taking collateral, banks feel safer and can lend a larger amount of money at lower interest rates as compared to unsecured loans.

03

Final Answer

An unanticipated decline in the price level increases the risk profile of the assets of the bank, (i.e.) loans they have given become riskier as the value of collateral taken by them sharply falls.

Therefore, this makes banks risk-averse to further lending which results in a drop in lending.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

How did the global financial crisis promote a sovereign debt crisis in Europe?

. Go to the St. Louis Federal Reserve FRED database, and find data on house prices (SPCS20RSA), stock prices (NASDAQCOM), a measure of the net wealth of households (TNWBSHNO), and personal consumption expenditures (PCEC). For all four measures, be sure to convert the frequency setting to “Quarterly.” Download the data into a spreadsheet, and make sure the data align correctly with the appropriate dates. For all four series, for each quarter, calculate the annualized growth rate from quarter to quarter. To do this, take the current-period data minus the previous-quarter data, and then divide by the previous quarter data. Multiply by 100 to change each result to a percentage, and multiply by 4 to annualize the data.

a. For the four series, calculate the average growth rates over the most recent four quarters of data available. Comment on the relationships among house prices, stock prices, net wealth of households, and consumption as they relate to your results.

b. Repeat part (a) for the four quarters of 2005, and again for the period from 2008:Q3 to 2009:Q2. Comment on the relationships among house prices, stock prices, net wealth of households, and consumption as they relate to your results, before and during the crisis.

c. How do the current household data compare to the data from the period prior to the financial crisis, and during the crisis? Do you think the current data are indicative of a bubble?

How does the concept of asymmetric information help to define a financial crisis?

Provide one argument in favor of and one against the idea that the Fed was responsible for the housing price bubble of the mid-2000s.

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