The Mexican peso is trading at 11 pesos per dollar. If the expected U.S. inflation rate is 1% while the expected Mexican inflation rate is 15% over the next year, given PPP, what is the expected exchange rate in one year?

Short Answer

Expert verified

The expected exchange rate in one year is 12.52 pesos per dollar.

Step by step solution

01

Concept Introduction 

Purchasing Power Parity means the rate between two countries is adequate to the ratio of the 2 countries price index of a set basket of products and services and it's also use to match the income levels worldwide. To calculate Purchasing Power Parity, inflation differences and price of living are taken under consideration. The Purchasing Power Parity makes it easy to grasp and interpret the information of every country.

02

Explanation of solution

Exchange rate of M pesos and US dollar is 11 pesos per dollar.

Inflation in US and M are 1%and15% respectively.

The formula to calculate the exchange rate is:

Exchange Rateet=Foreign pricelevelPtDomesticPricelevelPd

Calculationofexpectedexchangerate:Expectedexchangerateinoneyear=11×1.151.01=12.52

Hence, the expected rate is 12.52pesos per dollar. Inflation in M is over US which suggests that depreciation in M currency over one year.

When there's inflation within the economy it results in depreciation of the domestic currency and makes domestic goods cheaper for foreign markets.

Depreciation of currency means decrease within the value of domestic currency relative to foreign currency.

Depreciation of currency makes domestic goods cheaper relative to the foreign goods.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Go to the St. Louis Federal Reserve FRED database, and find data on the daily dollar exchange rates for the euro (DEXUSEU), British pound (DEXUSUK), and Japanese yen (DEXJPUS). Also find data on the daily three-month London Interbank Offer Rate, or LIBOR, for the United States dollar (USD3MTD156N), euro (EUR3MTD156N), British pound (GBP3MTD156N), and Japanese yen (JPY3MTD156N). LIBOR is a measure of interest rates denominated in each country’s respective currency.

a. Calculate the difference between the LIBOR rate in the United States and the LIBOR rates in the three other countries using the data from one year ago and the most recent data available.

b. Based on the changes in interest rate differentials, do you expect the dollar to depreciate or appreciate against the other currencies?

c. Report the percentage change in the exchange rates over the past year. Are the results you predicted in part (b) consistent with the actual exchange rate behavior?

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“A country is always worse off when its currency is weak (falls in value).” Is this statement true, false, or uncertain? Explain your answer.

Suppose the president of the United States announces

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Suppose the president of the United States announces a new set of reforms that includes a new anti-inflation program. Assuming the announcement is believed by the public, what will happen to the exchange rate on the U.S. dollar.

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