Go to http://www.federalreserve.gov/fomc/. Read the latest FOMC statement and the minutes of the most recent FOMC meeting. Are the statement and the discussion in the minutes consistent with the Taylor principle?

Short Answer

Expert verified

No, they are not consistent.

Step by step solution

01

Concept Preface 

FOMC stands for Federal Open Market Committee, and it is in charge of monetary policy, particularly price stability and long-term economic growth. The Taylor rule is used by the FOMC to achieve its objectives. To maintain prices steady, the Fed should raise interest rates more than the rate of inflation, according to Taylor's principle. That is the major task of the FOMC, and they aim to adhere to the Taylor rule.

02

FOMC statement 

The latest FOMC meeting was on 15 March 2022 and continued on 16 March. The discussion in this meeting was focused on the effects Russian invasion on the global economy, and the impact of sanctions on Russia on the financial market in the US.

The committee expected the inflation rate to reach its long-term target of 2%. The committee has decided to increase the target federal funds rate to 1/4 to 1/2 percent. This is not consistent with the Taylor principle which recommends the nominal interest rate to be increased higher than point-to-point for inflation.

03

Step :3  Inflation and maximum 

Taylor's principle is a tool developed by economist John Taylor. It was designed to give "recommendations" for how a central bank like the Federal Reserve should set short-term interest rates as profitable conditions change to achieve both its short-run thing for stabilizing the frugality and its long-run thing for affectation.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Consider an economy described by the following:

C=\(3.25trillionI=\)1.3trillionG=\(3.5trillionT=\)3.0trillionNX=-$1.0trillionf=1mpc=0.75d=0.3x=0.1l=1r=1

a. Derive expressions for the MP curve and the AD curve.

b. Assume that π=1. Calculate the real interest rate, the equilibrium level of output, consumption, planned investment, and net exports.

c. Suppose the Fed increases r to r = 2. Calculate the real interest rate, the equilibrium level of output, consumption, planned investment, and net exports at this new level of r.

d. Considering that output, consumption, planned investment, and net exports all decreased in part (c), why might the Fed choose to increase r?

How does an autonomous tightening or easing of monetary policy by the Fed affect the MP curve?

A measure of real interest rates can be approximated by the Treasury Inflation-Indexed Security, or TIIS. Go to the St. Louis Federal Reserve FRED database, and find data on the five-year TIIS (FII5) and the personal consumption expenditure price index (PCECTPI), a measure of the price index. Choose “Quarterly” for the frequency setting of the TIIS, and download both data series. Convert the price index data to annualized inflation rates by taking the quarter-to-quarter percent change in the price index and multiplying it by 4. Be sure to multiply by 100 so that your results are percentages.

a. Calculate the average inflation rate and the average real interest rate over the most recent four quarters of data available and the four quarters prior to that.

b. Calculate the change in the average inflation rate between the most recent annual period and the year prior. Then calculate the change in the average real interest rate over the same period.

c. Using your answers to part (b), compute the ratio of the change in the average real interest rate to the change in the average inflation rate. What does this ratio represent? Comment on how it relates to the Taylor principle.

Why does the aggregate demand curve shift when “animal spirits” change?

"Autonomous monetary policy is more effective at changing output when λ is higher." Is this statement true, false, or uncertain? Explain your answer.

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