If the public expects the Fed to pursue a policy that is likely to raise short-term interest rates permanently to 5%, but the Fed does not go through with this policy change, what will happen to long-term interest rates? Explain your answer.

Short Answer

Expert verified

They'll most likely lower their expectations as a result of this downward move, and we'll see long-term interest rates fall as a result.

Step by step solution

01

Step:1 Introduction 

Monetary policy refers to the macroeconomic policies set by each country's central bank. It is the policy adopted by the central bank to control the interest rate, exchange rate, and inflation rate in an economy by manipulating the money supply.

02

Step:2 Explanation

Because the public expects short-term rates to rise, long-term rates are likely to rise as well. However, if the Federal Reserve does not follow through on this proposed increase in short-term rates, they will not rise, implying that the public's perception of the situation must be altered. As a result, expectations are being revised. Let's name it based on what the public believes will happen in terms of interest rates in the short and long run. So they're revising their expectations since they recognized they were mistaken to assume these higher short-term rates in the first place. They'll most likely shift their expectations downward as a result of the downward shift.

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with Vaia!

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

What are the purposes of inflation targeting, and how does this monetary policy strategy achieve them?

Go to the St. Louis Federal Reserve FRED database, and find data on the core PCE price index (PCEPILFE) and the spot price of a barrel of oil (WTISPLC). For both variables, convert the units setting to "Percent Change from Year Ago, " and download the data from 1960 to the most recent available data.

a. Identify periods in which oil price inflation is 80%or higher.

b. In the periods identified in part (a), how many months was oil price inflation 80% or higher? What was the average core inflation rate during each of those episodes?

c. Based on your answers to parts (a) and (b) above, what can you conclude about the credibility of more recent monetary policy compared to its credibility in the earlier periods?

Various survey-based measures of inflation expectations are available reflecting consumer, market, and economists" outlooks. For instance, the Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) is available from the Philadelphia Federal Reserve at https//www.philadelphiafed.org/research-and-data/ real-time-center/survey-of-professional-forecasters/, while the well-known University of Michigan consumer inflation expectations survey is available at https://fred st1ouisfed org/series/MICH. Compare the most recent readings of inflation expectations of the SPF and Michigan survey to actual CPI inflation. In general, which one seems to be more accurate?

Suppose two countries have identical aggregate demand curves and potential levels of output, and γis the same in both countries. Assume that in 2019 , both countries are hit with the same negative supply shock. Given the table of values below for inflation in each country, what can you say, if anything, about the credibility of each country's central bank? Explain your answer.

How does a credible nominal anchor help improve the economic outcomes that result from a positive aggregate demand shock? How does a credible nominal anchor help if a negative aggregate supply shock occurs? Use graphs of aggregate supply and demand to demonstrate.

See all solutions

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.

Sign-up for free