If \(A\) and \(B\) be two events such that \(P(\bar{A} \cap \bar{B})=\frac{1}{6}, P(A \cap B)=\frac{1}{4}\) and \(P(\bar{A})=\frac{1}{4}\), then (1) \(P(B)=\frac{1}{3}\) (2) \(\mathrm{A}\) and \(\mathrm{B}\) are dependent events (3) \(P(\bar{A} \cup \bar{B})=\frac{1}{4}\) (4) \(\bar{A}\) and \(\bar{B}\) are exhaustive events

Short Answer

Expert verified
1. True. P(B) = \( \frac{1}{3} \) 2. False. A and B are independent. 3. False. P(\bar{A} \cup \bar{B}) = \( \frac{3}{4} \) 4. False. \(\bar{A}\) and \(\bar{B}\) are not exhaustive.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Given Information

Given probabilities are: \( P(\bar{A} \cap \bar{B}) = \frac{1}{6} \), \( P(A \cap B) = \frac{1}{4} \), \( P(\bar{A}) = \frac{1}{4} \).
02

Use Probability Complement Rule

The rule states that the probability of the complement of event A is \( P(\bar{A}) = 1 - P(A) \). Given \( P(\bar{A}) = \frac{1}{4} \), find \( P(A) \): \[ P(A) = 1 - P(\bar{A}) = 1 - \frac{1}{4} = \frac{3}{4} \]
03

Set Up the Total Probability

Use the fact that for any two events A and B, \[ P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B) \] Also, note that \( P(\bar{A} \cap \bar{B}) \) can be related to \( P(A \cup B) \) as follows: \[ P(\bar{A} \cap \bar{B}) = 1 - P(A \cup B) \].
04

Calculate P(A ∪ B)

Given \( P(\bar{A} \cap \bar{B}) = \frac{1}{6} \), we have: \[ P(A \cup B) = 1 - P(\bar{A} \cap \bar{B}) = 1 - \frac{1}{6} = \frac{5}{6} \]
05

Use the Total Probability Formula

Since \( P(A \cup B) = \frac{5}{6} \), we can substitute the known values: \[ \frac{5}{6} = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B) \]. Using \( P(A) = \frac{3}{4} \) and \( P(A \cap B) = \frac{1}{4} \), solve for \( P(B) \): \[ \frac{5}{6} = \frac{3}{4} + P(B) - \frac{1}{4} \] \[ \frac{5}{6} = \frac{1}{2} + P(B) \] \[ P(B) = \frac{5}{6} - \frac{1}{2} = \frac{5}{6} - \frac{3}{6} = \frac{1}{3} \]
06

Conclusion on Event Dependency

Two events A and B are independent if \( P(A \cap B) = P(A)P(B) \). Calculate \( P(A)P(B) \) to check: \[ P(A)P(B) = \frac{3}{4} \times \frac{1}{3} = \frac{1}{4} \] Since \( P(A \cap B) = \frac{1}{4} \), A and B are independent.
07

Calculate \( P(\bar{A} \cup \bar{B}) \)

Use De Morgan's law: \[ P(\bar{A} \cup \bar{B}) = P(\overline{A \cap B}) \] Since \( P(A \cap B) = \frac{1}{4} \), we have: \[ P(\bar{A} \cup \bar{B}) = 1 - \frac{1}{4} = \frac{3}{4} \].
08

Exhaustiveness Condition for \( \bar{A} \text{ and } \bar{B} \)

Two events are exhaustive if their union is the entire sample space (i.e. \( P(\bar{A} \cup \bar{B}) = 1 \)). We calculated \( P(\bar{A} \cup \bar{B}) = \frac{3}{4} \), so \( \bar{A} \text{ and } \bar{B} \text{ are not exhaustive}.\)

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Complement Rule
The Complement Rule is a useful concept in probability theory. It helps to find the probability of an event not happening. The complement of an event A is denoted as \(\bar{A}\). According to the rule, the probability of the complement of event A is given by: \[ P(\bar{A}) = 1 - P(A) \] In our exercise, we know that \(P(\bar{A}) = \frac{1}{4}\). Therefore, we can find \(P(A)\) as follows: \[ P(A) = 1 - P(\bar{A}) = 1 - \frac{1}{4} = \frac{3}{4} \]
Independent Events
In probability theory, two events A and B are called independent if the occurrence or non-occurrence of one does not affect the occurrence of the other. This is represented by: \[ P(A \cap B) = P(A) \cdot P(B) \] In our example, to determine if events A and B are independent, we need to compare \(P(A \cap B)\) and \(P(A) \cdot P(B)\). We already have the values \(P(A) = \frac{3}{4}\) and \(P(B) = \frac{1}{3}\). Hence, we calculate: \[ P(A) \cdot P(B) = \frac{3}{4} \times \frac{1}{3} = \frac{1}{4} \] Given that \(P(A \cap B) = \frac{1}{4}\), it matches our calculation for independent events. This means A and B are indeed independent.
Total Probability Theorem
The Total Probability Theorem is fundamental when dealing with complex probabilities that involve combining multiple events. It states that for any two events A and B: \[ P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B) \] In our solution, we use this theorem to find \(P(\bar{A} \cap \bar{B})\) which is 1 minus the probability of \(A \cup B\). Given \(P(\bar{A} \cap \bar{B}) = \frac{1}{6}\), we compute \(P(A \cup B)\) as follows: - \(P(A \cup B) = 1 - P(\bar{A} \cap \bar{B}) = 1 - \frac{1}{6} = \frac{5}{6}\) Using the Total Probability Theorem: - \(\frac{5}{6} = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B)\) - Substituting known probabilities: - \(\frac{5}{6} = \frac{3}{4} + \frac{1}{3} - \frac{1}{4} = \frac{1}{2} + \frac{1}{3}\) Giving the final value for \(P(B)\) as \(\frac{1}{3}\)

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