Chapter 3: Q.3.3 (page 97)
Use Equation to compute in a hand of bridge the conditional probability that East has spades given that North and South have a combined total of spades.
Short Answer
The conditional probability is
Chapter 3: Q.3.3 (page 97)
Use Equation to compute in a hand of bridge the conditional probability that East has spades given that North and South have a combined total of spades.
The conditional probability is
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Get started for free(a) An urn containswhite and black balls. The balls are withdrawn one at a time until only those of the same color are left. Show that with probability , they are all white. Hint: Imagine that the experiment continues until all the balls are removed, and consider the last ball withdrawn.
(b) A pond containsdistinct species of fish, which we will call the Red, Blue, and Greenfish. There are Red, Blue, and Greenfish. Suppose that the fish are removed from the pond in random order. (That is, each selection is equally likely to be any of the remaining fish.) What is the probability that the Redfish are the first species to become extinct in the pond?
Hint: Write , and compute the probabilities on the right by first conditioning on the last species to be removed.
A total of married working couples were polled about their annual salaries , with the following information resulting:
Wife | Husband | |
Less than | More than | |
Less than | ||
More than |
For instance, in of the couples, the wife earned more and the husband earned less than \(. If one of the couples is randomly chosen, what is
(a) the probability that the husband earns less than \)?
(b) the conditional probability that the wife earns more than \(given that the husband earns more than this amount?
(c) the conditional probability that the wife earns more than \)given that the husband earns less than this amount?
An ectopic pregnancy is twice as likely to develop when the pregnant woman is a smoker as it is when she is a nonsmoker. If 32 percent of women of childbearing age are smokers, what percentage of women having ectopic pregnancies are smokers?
In Laplace’s rule of succession (Example 5e), show that if the first flips all result in heads, then the conditional probability that the next m flips also result in all heads is.
A recent college graduate is planning to take the first three actuarial examinations in the coming summer. She will take the first actuarial exam in June. If she passes that exam, then she will take the second exam in July, and if she also passes that one, then she will take the third exam in September. If she fails an exam, then she is not allowed to take any others. The probability that she passes the first exam is. If she passes the first exam, then the conditional probability that she passes the second one is , and if she passes both the first and the second exams, then the conditional probability that she passes the third exam is .7.
(a) What is the probability that she passes all three exams?
(b) Given that she did not pass all three exams, what is the conditional probability that she failed the second exam?
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