A parallel system functions whenever at least one of its components works. Consider a parallel system ofncomponents, and suppose that each component works independently with probability 12. Find the conditional probability that component 1 works given that the system is functioning.

Short Answer

Expert verified

The conditional probability that component 1 results shown that the system is functioning is12112n

Step by step solution

01

Given information 

Given in the question that, a parallel system functions whenever at least one of its components works.

We need to find the conditional probability that component 1 works given that the system is functioning

02

Parallel system functions 

Assume a parallel system of n components. The probability for each component to result is p=12

The system will operate whenever at least one component works.

The system will not function only when all the components are fell to work. For a description of probability,

p+q=1

12+q=1

q=12

Hence, the probability of each component that falls to perform is q=12

There are ncomponents in the system.

03

Applying conditional probability

The probability that none of the functions of the components is,

P(none)=qn

=12n

The probability that at least one of the components results is,

System function =1P(none)

=112n

The conditional probability that component 1 results shown that the system is functioning is,

P(component1works)P(system functioning)

=12112n

04

Final Answer 

The conditional probability that component 1 results shown that the system functioning is12112n

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with Vaia!

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

A total of 48percent of the women and 37percent of the men who took a certain“quit smoking” class remained nonsmokers for at least one year after completing the class. These people then attended a success party at the end of the year. If 62percent of the original class was male,

(a) what percentage of those attending the party were women?

(b) what percentage of the original class attended the party?

A high school student is anxiously waiting to receive mail telling her whether she has been accepted to a certain college. She estimates that the conditional probabilities of receiving notification on each day of next week, given that she is accepted and that she is rejected, are as follows:

DayP(mail/accepted)P(mail/rejected)
Monday.15
.05
Tuesday.20
.10
Wednesday.25
.10
Thursday.15
.15
Friday.10
.20

She estimates that her probability of being accepted is .6.

(a) What is the probability that she receives mail on Monday?

(b) What is the conditional probability that she receives mail on Tuesday given that she does not receive mail on Monday?

(c) If there is no mail through Wednesday, what is the conditional probability that she will be accepted?

(d) What is the conditional probability that she will be accepted if mail comes on Thursday?

(e) What is the conditional probability that she will be accepted if no mail arrives that week?

A simplified model for the movement of the price of a stock supposes that on each day the stock’s price either moves up 1unit with probabilitypor moves down 1unit with probability 1p.The changes on different days are assumed to be independent.

(a) What is the probability that after2days the stock will be at its original price?

(b) What is the probability that after 3days the stock’s price will have increased by 1 unit?

(c) Given that after 3days the stock’s price has increased by 1 unit, what is the probability that it went up on the first day?

In Example 3f, suppose that the new evidence is subject to different possible interpretations and in fact shows only that it is 90 percent likely that the criminal possesses the characteristic in question. In this case, how likely would it be that the suspect is guilty (assuming, as before, that he has the characteristic)?

In Example3a, what is the probability that someone has an accident in the second year given that he or she had no accidents in the first year?

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.

Sign-up for free