Determine t so that the probability that the repair person in Self-Test Problem 8.7 finishes the 20 jobs within time t is approximately equal to .95.

Short Answer

Expert verified

Determined the time tas 12.64 hours.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

The 20 jobs within time tis approximately equal to .95.

02

Explanation

Let X1,jdenotes the time needed for first step of servicing jth machine and X2,kdenotes the time needed for second step of servicing kth machine.

localid="1650025718171" μ1=EX1,j=1λ1=.2μ2=EX2,k=1λ2=.3
Finally,
λ1=1.2,λ2=1.3
Hence the appropriate variances are:
localid="1649745208470" σ12=VarX1,j=1λ12=.04,

And, σ22=VarX2,k=1λ22=.09.

03

Explanation

A repair person has 20machines to service and let Yrepresent the total time of servicing ith machine, i=1,2,,20. Then, for each i,
Yi=X1,i+X2,i
Then the total time of finishing all the work is:
Y=i=120Yi=i=120X1,i+X2,i

The sequence with mean is:

localid="1649744892768" μ=EX1,i+X2,i=μ1+μ2=.5

The variance is:

σ=VarX1,i+X2,i=σ12+σ22=.13

04

Probability calculation

The probability is:
P{Yt}
Using The central limit theorem:
P{Yt}=PY-20μσ2t-20μσ2Φt-20μσ20=Φt-20(.5)20(.13)Φt-20(.5)20(.13).95t-20(.5)20(.13)Φ(.95)=1.64t12.64.

Hence, the tis 12.64hours.

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