It follows from Proposition 6.1 and the fact that the best linear predictor of Y with respect to X is μy+ρσy/σx(Xμx) that if E[Y|X]=a+bX then a=μyρσy/σxμx b=ρσyσx (Why?) Verify this directly

Short Answer

Expert verified

Minimize the expected squared error.

Step by step solution

01

Given Information

a=μy-ρσyσxμx,b=ρσyσx

02

Explanation

Let's find constants a and b such that minimizes the expected squared error

E(Y-a-bX)2

If we differentiate it partially respective to a, we end up with conditiona+bE(X)=E(Y)

and if we differentiate it partially respective to b, we end up with condition

aE(X)+bEX2=E(XY)
03

Explanation

The system of equations,

a+bE(X)=E(Y)aE(X)+bEX2=E(XY)

and if we solve it, we get

b=Cov(X,Y)Var(X)

=ρ·σyσx

and

a=μy-μx·b=μy-μx·ρ·σyσx
04

Final Answer

Minimize the expected squared error. Hence, we have proved the claimed

a=μy-μx·b=μy-μx·ρ·σyσx

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