Chapter 4: Q. 4.2 (page 173)
Suppose that takes on one of the valuesand. If for some constant, find
Short Answer
The value of.
Chapter 4: Q. 4.2 (page 173)
Suppose that takes on one of the valuesand. If for some constant, find
The value of.
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Get started for freeSuppose that a biased coin that lands on heads with probability is flipped times. Given that a total of heads results, find the conditional probability that the first outcomes are
(a) (meaning that the first flip results in heads, the second is tails, and the third in tails);
(b)
When coin 1 is flipped, it lands on heads with probability .4; when coin 2 is flipped, it lands on heads with probability .7. One of these coins is randomly chosen and flipped 10 times.
(a) What is the probability that the coin lands on heads on exactly 7 of the 10 flips?
(b) Given that the first of these 10 flips lands heads, what is the conditional probability that exactly 7 of the 10 flips land on heads?
Two athletic teams play a series of games; the first team to win 4 games is declared the overall winner. Suppose that one of the teams is stronger than the other and wins each game with probability .6, independently of the outcomes of the other games. Find the probability, for i = 4, 5, 6, 7, that the stronger team wins the series in exactly i games. Compare the probability that the stronger team wins with the probability that it would win a 2-outof-3 series.
There are two possible causes for a breakdown of a machine. To check the first possibility would cost C1 dollars, and, if that were the cause of the breakdown, the trouble could be repaired at a cost of R1 dollars. Similarly, there are costs C2 and R2 associated with the second possibility. Let p and 1 − p denote, respectively, the probabilities that the breakdown is caused by the first and second possibilities. Under what conditions on p, Ci, Ri, i = 1, 2, should we check the first possible cause of breakdown and then the second, as opposed to reversing the checking order, so as to minimize the expected cost involved in returning the machine to working order?
Consider Problem 4.22 with i = 2. Find the variance of the number of games played, and show that this number is maximized when p = 1 2 .
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