Chapter 4: Q.4.6 (page 163)
In Problem for if the coin is assumed fair, what are the probabilities associated with the values that X can take on?
Short Answer
For
Chapter 4: Q.4.6 (page 163)
In Problem for if the coin is assumed fair, what are the probabilities associated with the values that X can take on?
For
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Get started for freeAn interviewer is given a list of people she can interview. If the interviewer needs to interview 5 people, and if each person (independently) agrees to be interviewed with probability 2 3 , what is the probability that her list of people will enable her to obtain her necessary number of interviews if the list consists of
(a) 5 people and
(b) 8 people? For part (b), what is the probability that the interviewer will speak to exactly
(c) 6 people and
(d) 7 people on the list?
Each of 500 soldiers in an army company independently has a certain disease with probability 1/103. This disease will show up in a blood test, and to facilitate matters, blood samples from all 500 soldiers are pooled and tested.
(a) What is the (approximate) probability that the blood test will be positive (that is, at least one person has the disease)? Suppose now that the blood test yields a positive result.
(b) What is the probability, under this circumstance, that more than one person has the disease? Now, suppose one of the 500 people is Jones, who knows that he has the disease.
(c) What does Jones think is the probability that more than one person has the disease? Because the pooled test was positive, the authorities have decided to test each individual separately. The first i − 1 of these tests were negative, and the ith one—which was on Jones—was positive.
(d) Given the preceding scenario, what is the probability, as a function of i, that any of the remaining people have the disease?
At time a coin that comes up heads with probability p is flipped and falls to the ground. Suppose it lands on heads. At times chosen according to a Poisson process with rate , the coin is picked up and flipped. (Between these times, the coin remains on the ground.) What is the probability that the coin is on its head side at time? Hint: What would be the conditional probability if there were no additional flips by time , and what would it be if there were additional flips by time ?
Suppose that the number of accidents occurring on a highway each day is a Poisson random variable with parameter λ = 3.
(a) Find the probability that 3 or more accidents occur today.
(b) Repeat part (a) under the assumption that at least 1 accident occurs today.
A sample of 3 items is selected at random from a box containing 20 items of which 4 are defective. Find the expected number of defective items in the sample.
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