In Exercises 15–20, assume that random guesses are made for eight multiple choice questions on an SAT test, so that there are n = eight trials, each with probability of success (correct) given by p = 0.20. Find the indicated probability for the number of correct answers.

Find the probability that the number x of correct answers is fewer than 3.

Short Answer

Expert verified

The probability of getting fewer than three correct answers is equal to 0.797.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

A set of eight multiple-choice questions are answered in the SAT. The probability of a correct answer is given to be equal to 0.20.

02

Required Probability

Let X denote the number of correct answers.

Thus, the number of trials (n) is given to be equal to eight.

The probability of success (getting a correct answer) is p= 0.20.

The probability of failure (getting a wrong answer) is calculated below:

q=1-p=1-0.20=0.80

The number of successes required in eight trials should be less than three.

The binomial probability formula is as follows:

PX=x=nCxpxqn-x

By using the binomial probability formula, the probability of getting fewer than three correct answers is computed below:

PX<3=PX=0+PX=1+PX=2=8C00.2000.808+8C10.2010.807+8C20.2020.806=0.167772+0.335544+0.293601=0.796917=0.797

Therefore, the probability of getting fewer than three correct answers is equal to 0.797.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Significance with Range Rule of Thumb. In Exercises 29 and 30, assume that different groups of couples use the XSORT method of gender selection and each couple gives birth to one baby. The XSORT method is designed to increase the likelihood that a baby will be a girl, but assume that the method has no effect, so the probability of a girl is 0.5.

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b. Use the range rule of thumb to find the values separating results that are significantly low or significantly high.

c. Is the result of 26 girls a result that is significantly high? What does it suggest about the effectiveness of the XSORT method?

In Exercises 15–20, refer to the accompanying table, which describes results from groups of 8 births from 8 different sets of parents. The random variable x represents the number of girls among 8 children.

Using Probabilities for Significant Events

a. Find the probability of getting exactly 1 girl in 8 births.

b. Find the probability of getting 1 or fewer girls in 8 births.

c. Which probability is relevant for determining whether 1 is a significantly low number ofgirls in 8 births: the result from part (a) or part (b)?

d. Is 1 a significantly low number of girls in 8 births? Why or why not?

Number of girls x

P(x)

0

0.004

1

0.031

2

0.109

3

0.219

4

0.273

5

0.219

6

0.109

7

0.031

8

0.004

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