Identifying Binomial Distributions. In Exercises 5–12, determine whether the given procedure results in a binomial distribution (or a distribution that can be treated as binomial). For those that are not binomial, identify at least one requirement that is not satisfied.

Surveying Senators The Senate members of the 113th Congress include 80 males and 20 females. Forty different senators are randomly selected without replacement, and the gender of each selected senator is recorded.

Short Answer

Expert verified

The given situation cannot be approximated using the binomial distribution as the individual selections are not independent.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

Out of 80 senators, 40 are selected, and the gender of each selected senator is recorded.

02

Assumptions of binomial distribution

The following assumptions of the binomial distribution should be satisfied:

  • The procedure should have a fixed number of trials.
  • The trials should be independent.
  • Each trial should have outcomes that are of exactly two kinds: success and failure.
  • The probability of success should be the same for all the trials.
03

Violation of an assumption of binomial distribution

One of the conditions that must be met for a procedure to follow the binomial distribution is that the events whose probability is computed should be independent.

Fortysenators are selected without replacement. Thus, they cannot be considered independent unless they fulfill the 5% rule of cumbersome calculations, which says that the sample size should be no more than 5% of the population size.

It is given that the population size is equal to 100.

The sample size chosen is equal to 40.

It is known that

5%of100=5100×100=5

However,

40>5

Since the sample size is greater than 5% of the population size, the selections cannot be considered independent.

Therefore, the given situation cannot be modeled using the binomial distribution.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

In Exercises 21–24, assume that when adults with smartphones are randomly selected, 54% use them in meetings or classes (based on data from an LG Smartphone survey).

If 8 adult smartphone users are randomly selected, find the probability that exactly 6 of them use their smartphones in meetings or classes.

In Exercises 25–28, find the probabilities and answer the questions.

See You Later Based on a Harris Interactive poll, 20% of adults believe in reincarnation. Assume that six adults are randomly selected, and find the indicated probability.

a. What is the probability that exactly five of the selected adults believe in reincarnation?

b. What is the probability that all of the selected adults believe in reincarnation?

c. What is the probability that at least five of the selected adults believe in reincarnation?

d. If six adults are randomly selected, is five a significantly high number who believe in reincarnation?

Detecting FraudThe Brooklyn District Attorney’s office analyzed the leading (leftmost) digits of check amounts in order to identify fraud. The leading digit of 1 is expected to occur 30.1% of the time, according to “Benford’s law,” which applies in this case. Among 784 checks issued by a suspect company, there were none with amounts that had a leading digit of 1.

a. If there is a 30.1% chance that the leading digit of the check amount is 1, what is the expected number of checks among 784 that should have a leading digit of 1?

b. Assume that groups of 784 checks are randomly selected. Find the mean and standard deviation for the numbers of checks with amounts having a leading digit of 1.

c. Use the results from part (b) and the range rule of thumb to identify the values that are significantly low.

d. Given that the 784 actual check amounts had no leading digits of 1, is there very strong evidence that the suspect checks are very different from the expected results? Why or why not?

Groups of people aged 15–65 are randomly selected and arranged in groups of six. The random variable xis the number in the group who say that their family and / or partner contribute most to their happiness (based on a Coca-Cola survey). The accompanying table lists

the values of xalong with their corresponding probabilities. Does the table describe a probability distribution? If so, find the mean and standard deviation.

x

P(x)

0

0+

1

0.003

2

0.025

3

0.111

4

0.279

5

0.373

6

0.208

In Exercises 7–14, determine whether a probability

distribution is given. If a probability distribution is given, find its mean and standarddeviation. If a probability distribution is not given, identify the requirements that are notsatisfied.

Ted is not particularly creative. He uses the pickupline “If I could rearrange the alphabet, I’d put U and I together.”The random variable xis the number of women Ted approachesbefore encountering one who reacts positively.

x

P(x)

1

0.001

2

0.009

3

0.030

4

0.060

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