Constructing and Interpreting Confidence Intervals. In Exercises 13–16, use the given sample data and confidence level. In each case, (a) find the best point estimate of the population proportion p; (b) identify the value of the margin of error E; (c) construct the confidence interval; (d) write a statement that correctly interprets the confidence interval.

Survey Return Rate In a study of cell phone use and brain hemispheric dominance, an Internet survey was e-mailed to 5000 subjects randomly selected from an online group involved with ears. 717 surveys were returned. Construct a 90% confidence interval for the proportion of returned surveys.

Short Answer

Expert verified

(a)Thebest point estimate of the proportion of surveys that were returnedis equal to 0.143.

(b)The margin of error is equal to 0.0082.

(c)The 90% confidence interval estimate of the population proportion of surveys that were returned is equal to (0.135, 0.152).

(d) There is 90% confidence that the true proportion of surveys that were returned will lie between the values 0.135 and 0.152.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

In a sample of emails of surveys sent to 5000 subjects, 717 surveys were returned.

02

Compute the sample proportion

(a)

The best point estimate of the proportion of surveys that were returned is computed below:

p^=7175000=0.143

Thus, the sample proportion of surveys that were returned and equal to 0.143 is the best point estimate of the proportion of surveys that were returned.

03

Compute the margin of error

(b)

The confidence level is equal to 90%. Thus, the corresponding level of significance is equal to 0.10.

From the standard normal distribution table, the right-tailed value of zα2for is equal to 1.645.

The margin of error is calculated below:

E=1.645×0.143×0.8575000=0.0082

Thus, the margin of error is equal to 0.0082.

04

Compute the confidence interval

(c)

The formula for computing the confidence interval estimate of the population proportion is written below:

CI=p^-E,p^+E

The 90% confidence interval becomes equal to:

CI=0.143-0.0082,0.143+0.0082=0.135,0.152

Therefore, the 90% confidence interval estimate of the population proportion of surveys that were returned is equal to (0.135, 0.152).

05

Interpretation of the confidence interval

(d)

There is 90% confidence that the true proportion of surveys that were returned will lie between the values 0.135 and 0.152.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Critical Thinking. In Exercises 17–28, use the data and confidence level to construct a

confidence interval estimate of p, then address the given question. Fast Food AccuracyIn a study of the accuracy of fast food drive-through orders, Burger King had 264 accurate orders and 54 that were not accurate (based on data from QSRmagazine).

a.Construct a 99% confidence interval estimate of the percentageof orders that are not accurate.

b.Compare the result from part (a) to this 99% confidence interval for the percentage of orders that are not accurate at Wendy’s: 6.2%<p< 15.9%. What do you conclude?

Sample Size. In Exercises 29–36, find the sample size required to estimate the population mean.

Mean IQ of Attorneys See the preceding exercise, in which we can assume that for the IQ scores. Attorneys are a group with IQ scores that vary less than the IQ scores of the general population. Find the sample size needed to estimate the mean IQ of attorneys, given that we want 98% confidence that the sample mean is within 3 IQ points of the population mean. Does the sample size appear to be practical?

Finite Population Correction Factor For Formulas 7-2 and 7-3 we assume that the population is infinite or very large and that we are sampling with replacement. When we sample without replacement from a relatively small population with size N, we modify E to include the finite population correction factor shown here, and we can solve for n to obtain the result given here. Use this result to repeat part (b) of Exercise 38, assuming that we limit our population to a county with 2500 women who have completed the time during which they can give birth.

E=zα2p^q^nN-nN-1

n=Np^q^zα22p^q^zα22+N-1E2

Formats of Confidence Intervals. In Exercises 9–12, express the confidence interval using the indicated format. (The confidence intervals are based on the proportions of red, orange, yellow, and blue M&Ms in Data Set 27 “M&M Weights” in Appendix B.)

Blue M&Ms Express the confidence interval 0.270±0.073 in the form ofp^-E<p<p^+E

Interpreting CIWrite a brief statement that correctly interprets the confidence interval given in Exercise 1 “Celebrities and the Law.”

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