The accompanying table lists results of overtime football

games before and after the overtime rule was changed in the National Football League in 2011. Use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim of independence between winning an overtime game and whether playing under the old rule or the new rule. What do the results suggest about

the effectiveness of the rule change?

Before Rule Change

After Rule Change

Overtime Coin Toss Winner Won the Game

252

24

Overtime Coin Toss Winner Lost the Game

208

23

Short Answer

Expert verified

Winning an overtime game and whether playing under the old rule or the new rule are independent. And hence the rule change is not effective.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

The data for overtime football games before and after the overtime rule was changed in the National Football League in 2011 is provided.

02

Compute the expected frequencies

Theexpected frequencyis computed as,

\(E = \frac{{\left( {row\;total} \right)\left( {column\;total} \right)}}{{\left( {grand\;total} \right)}}\)

The observed frequencies(O), along with row and column totals is tabulated below,


Before Rule Change

After Rule Change

Row total

Overtime Coin Toss Winner Won the Game

252

24

276

Overtime Coin Toss Winner Lost the Game

208

23

231

Column total

460

47

507

Theexpected ( E) frequency table is represented as,


Before Rule Change

After Rule Change

Overtime Coin Toss Winner Won the Game

250.4142

25.5858

Overtime Coin Toss Winner Lost the Game

209.5858

21.4142

Assume the subjects are randomly selected for the study.

Since all the expected values are larger than 5, the requirement for chi-square test are fulfilled.

03

State the null and alternate hypothesis

The claim to test the independence of the two variables; the hypotheses are formulated as follows,

\({H_0}:\)Winning an overtime game and whether playing under the old rule or the new rule are independent.

\({H_a}:\)Winning an overtime game and whether playing under the old rule or the new rule are dependent.

04

Compute the test statistic

The value of the test statisticis computed as,

\[\begin{aligned}{c}{\chi ^2} = \sum {\frac{{{{\left( {O - E} \right)}^2}}}{E}} \\ = \frac{{{{\left( {252 - 250.4142} \right)}^2}}}{{250.4142}} + \frac{{{{\left( {24 - 25.5858} \right)}^2}}}{{25.5858}} + ... + \frac{{{{\left( {23 - 21.4142} \right)}^2}}}{{21.4142}}\\ = 0.2378\end{aligned}\]

Therefore, the value of the test statistic is 0.2378.

05

Compute the degrees of freedom

The degrees of freedomare computed as,

\(\begin{aligned}{c}\left( {r - 1} \right)\left( {c - 1} \right) = \left( {2 - 1} \right)\left( {2 - 1} \right)\\ = 1\end{aligned}\)

Therefore, the degrees of freedom are 1.

06

Compute the critical value

From chi-square table, the critical value for the row corresponding to 1 degrees of freedom and at 0.05 level of significance is 3.841.

Therefore, the critical value is 3.841.

Also, the p-value is obtained from the table as 0.626.

07

State the decision

Since the critical (3.841) is greater than the value of the test statistic (0.2378), in case the null hypothesis fails to be rejected.

Therefore, the decision is that we fail to reject the null hypothesis.

08

State the conclusion

There issufficient evidence to support the claim that winning an overtime game and whether playing under the old rule or the new rule are independent.

The results suggest that the change in rule is not effective on the winning in over time game.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The accompanying TI-83/84 Plus calculator display results from thehypothesis test described in Exercise 1. Assume that the hypothesis test requirements are allsatisfied. Identify the test statistic and the P-value (expressed in standard form and rounded tothree decimal places), and then state the conclusion about the null hypothesis.

In Exercises 5–20, conduct the hypothesis test and provide the test statistic and the P-value and, or critical value, and state the conclusion.

Baseball Player Births In his book Outliers, author Malcolm Gladwell argues that more baseball players have birth dates in the months immediately following July 31, because that was the age cutoff date for nonschool baseball leagues. Here is a sample of frequency counts of months of birth dates of American-born Major League Baseball players starting with January: 387, 329, 366, 344, 336, 313, 313, 503, 421, 434, 398, 371. Using a 0.05 significance level, is there sufficient evidence to warrant rejection of the claim that American-born Major League Baseball players are born in different months with the same frequency? Do the sample values appear to support Gladwell’s claim?

Cybersecurity The accompanying Statdisk results shown in the margin are obtained from the data given in Exercise 1. What should be concluded when testing the claim that the leading digits have a distribution that fits well with Benford’s law?

In Exercises 1–4, use the following listed arrival delay times (minutes) for American Airline flights from New York to Los Angeles. Negative values correspond to flights that arrived early. Also shown are the SPSS results for analysis of variance. Assume that we plan to use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that the different flights have the same mean arrival delay time.

Flight 1

-32

-25

-26

-6

5

-15

-17

-36

Flight 19

-5

-32

-13

-9

-19

49

-30

-23

Flight 21

-23

28

103

-19

-5

-46

13

-3

Test Statistic What is the value of the test statistic? What distribution is used with the test statistic?

Motor Vehicle Fatalities The table below lists motor vehicle fatalities by day of the week for a recent year (based on data from the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety). Use a 0.01 significance level to test the claim that auto fatalities occur on the different days of the week with the same frequency. Provide an explanation for the results.

Day

Sun.

Mon.

Tues.

Wed.

Thurs.

Fri.

Sat.

Frequency

5304

4002

4082

4010

4268

5068

5985

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