Bias in Clinical Trials? Researchers investigated the issue of race and equality of access to clinical trials. The following table shows the population distribution and the numbers of participants in clinical trials involving lung cancer (based on data from “Participation in Cancer Clinical Trials,” by Murthy, Krumholz, and Gross, Journal of the American Medical Association, Vol. 291, No. 22). Use a 0.01 significance level to test the claim that the distribution of clinical trial participants fits well with the population distribution. Is there a race/ethnic group that appears to be very underrepresented?

Race/ethnicity

White

non-Hispanic

Hispanic

Black

Asian/

Pacific

Islander

American Indian/

Alaskan Native

Distribution of

Population

75.6%

9.1%

10.8%

3.8%

0.7%

Number in Lung

Cancer Clinical Trials

3855

60

316

54

12

Short Answer

Expert verified

There is enough evidence to conclude that the participants are not distributed according to the population distribution.

American Indian/Alaskan Native ethnic group, and the Asian/Pacific Islander ethnic group, appear to be underrepresented.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

The number of participants in a clinical trial involving lung cancer are tabulated under different ethnic groups.

The expected population distribution under each ethnic group is also provided.

02

Check the requirements

Assume subjects are randomly selected.

Let O denote the observed frequencies of people of different races.

The following values are obtained:

\(\begin{aligned}{l}{O_1} = 3855\\{O_2} = 60\\{O_3} = 316\\{O_4} = 54\\{O_5} = 12\end{aligned}\)

The sum of all observed frequencies is computed below:

\[\begin{aligned}{c}n = 3855 + 60 + ... + 12\\ = 4297\end{aligned}\]

Let E denote the expected frequencies.

It is expected that the frequencies should fit well with the population distribution.

Therefore, the population distribution of each race is given as follows:

\(\begin{aligned}{c}{p_1} = \frac{{75.6}}{{100}}\\ = 0.756\\{p_2} = \frac{{9.1}}{{100}}\\ = 0.091\end{aligned}\)

\(\begin{aligned}{c}{p_3} = \frac{{10.8}}{{100}}\\ = 0.108\\{p_4} = \frac{{3.8}}{{100}}\\ = 0.038\end{aligned}\)

\(\begin{aligned}{c}{p_5} = \frac{{0.7}}{{100}}\\ = 0.007\end{aligned}\)

Now, the expected frequencies are computed below:

\(\begin{aligned}{c}{E_1} = n{p_1}\\ = 4297\left( {0.756} \right)\\ = 3248.532\end{aligned}\)

\(\begin{aligned}{c}{E_2} = n{p_2}\\ = 4297\left( {0.091} \right)\\ = 391.027\end{aligned}\)

\(\begin{aligned}{c}{E_3} = n{p_3}\\ = 4297\left( {0.108} \right)\\ = 464.076\end{aligned}\)

\(\begin{aligned}{c}{E_4} = n{p_4}\\ = 4297\left( {0.038} \right)\\ = 163.286\end{aligned}\)

\(\begin{aligned}{c}{E_5} = n{p_5}\\ = 4297\left( {0.007} \right)\\ = 30.079\end{aligned}\)

Also,the expected values are greater than 5.

Thus, the requirements of the test are satisfied.

03

State the hypotheses

The hypotheses is stated as follows:

\({H_o}:\)The distribution of observations fits the distribution of population

\({H_a}:\)The distribution of observations does not fit the distribution of the population.

The test is right-tailed.

04

Compute the test statistic

The table below shows the necessary calculations:

05

State the conclusion

There is enough evidence to conclude that the participants are not distributed according to the population distribution.

Since there are a few participants that belong to the American Indian/Alaskan Native ethnic group as well as the Asian/Pacific Islander ethnic group, it can be said that these two races are underrepresented.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Police Calls The police department in Madison, Connecticut, released the following numbers of calls for the different days of the week during February that had 28 days: Monday (114); Tuesday (152); Wednesday (160); Thursday (164); Friday (179); Saturday (196); Sunday (130). Use a 0.01 significance level to test the claim that the different days of the week have the same frequencies of police calls. Is there anything notable about the observed frequencies?

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Questions 6–10 refer to the sample data in the following table, which describes the fate of the passengers and crew aboard the Titanic when it sank on April 15, 1912. Assume that the data are a sample from a large population and we want to use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that surviving is independent of whether the person is a man, woman, boy, or girl.


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Girls

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Identify the null and alternative hypotheses corresponding to the stated claim.

Cybersecurity The table below lists leading digits of 317 inter-arrival Internet traffic times for a computer, along with the frequencies of leading digits expected with Benford’s law (from Table 11-1 in the Chapter Problem).

a. Identify the notation used for observed and expected values.

b. Identify the observed and expected values for the leading digit of 2.

c. Use the results from part (b) to find the contribution to the\({\chi ^2}\)test statistic from the category representing the leading digit of 2.

Leading Digit

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

Benford’s

Law

30.1%

17.6%

12.5%

9.7%

7.9%

6.7%

5.8%

5.1%

4.6%

Leading Digits

of Inter-Arrival

Traffic Times

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29

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19

27

28

21

22

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