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Chapter 8: Q. 14 (page 392)
True or false: A - value of provides more evidence against the null hypothesis than a - value of . Explain your answer
The given statement is true.
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The Ericsson method is one of several methods claimed to increase the likelihood of a baby girl. In a clinical trial, results could be analysed with a formal hypothesis test with the alternative hypothesis of p>0.5, which corresponds to the claim that the method increases the likelihood of having a girl, so that the proportion of girls is greater than 0.5. If you have an interest in establishing the success of the method, which of the following P-values would you prefer: 0.999, 0.5, 0.95, 0.05, 0.01, and 0.001? Why?
In Exercises 9–12, refer to the exercise identified. Make subjective estimates to decide whether results are significantly low or significantly high, then state a conclusion about the original claim. For example, if the claim is that a coin favours heads and sample results consist of 11 heads in 20 flips, conclude that there is not sufficient evidence to support the claim that the coin favours heads (because it is easy to get 11 heads in 20 flips by chance with a fair coin).
Exercise 6 “Cell Phone”
Critical Values. In Exercises 21–24, refer to the information in the given exercise and do the following.
a. Find the critical value(s).
b. Using a significance level of = 0.05, should we reject or should we fail to reject ?
Exercise 20
Test Statistics. In Exercises 13–16, refer to the exercise identified and find the value of the test statistic. (Refer to Table 8-2 on page 362 to select the correct expression for evaluating the test statistic.)
Exercise 5 “Online Data”
In Exercises 1–4, use these results from a USA Today survey in which 510 people chose to respond to this question that was posted on the USA Today website: “Should Americans replace passwords with biometric security (fingerprints, etc)?” Among the respondents, 53% said “yes.” We want to test the claim that more than half of the population believes that passwords should be replaced with biometric security.
Requirements and Conclusions
a. Are any of the three requirements violated? Can the methods of this section be used to test the claim?
b. It was stated that we can easily remember how to interpret P-values with this: “If the P is low, the null must go.” What does this mean?
c. Another memory trick commonly used is this: “If the P is high, the null will fly.” Given that a hypothesis test never results in a conclusion of proving or supporting a null hypothesis, how is this memory trick misleading?
d. Common significance levels are 0.01 and 0.05. Why would it be unwise to use a significance level with a number like 0.0483?
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