In Exercises 5–16, use the listed paired sample data, and assume that the samples are simple random samples and that the differences have a distribution that is approximately normal.Two Heads Are Better Than One Listed below are brain volumes (cm3 ) of twins from Data Set 8 “IQ and Brain Size” in Appendix B. Construct a 99% confidence interval estimate of the mean of the differences between brain volumes for the first-born and the second-born twins. What does the confidence interval suggest?

First Born

1005

1035

1281

1051

1034

1079

1104

1439

1029

1160

Second Born

963

1027

1272

1079

1070

1173

1067

1347

1100

1204

Short Answer

Expert verified

The 99% confidence interval estimate of the mean of the differences between brain volumes for the first-born and the second-born is equal to(-66.75\({\rm{c}}{{\rm{m}}^3}\),49.75\({\rm{c}}{{\rm{m}}^3}\)).

As the value of 0 lies in the interval,there is a possibility that the brain volume of the firstborn is equal to the brain volume of the second born.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

The data are given on the brain volumes (in \({\rm{c}}{{\rm{m}}^{^3}}\)) of twins.

02

Hypotheses

Null Hypothesis: The mean of the differences between the brain volumes is equal to 0.

\({H_{0\;}}:\;{\mu _d} = 0\)

Alternative Hypothesis:The mean of the differences between the brain volumes is not equal to 0.\({H_1}\;:{\mu _d} \ne 0\;\..

Here \({\mu _d}\;\)is mean of the population of differences between the brain volumes of the firstborn and the second born.

03

Step 3:Expression of the confidence interval

The formula of the confidence interval is as follows:

\({\rm{C}}{\rm{.I}} = \bar d - E < {\mu _d} < \bar d + E\;\)

The value of the margin of error € has the following notation:

\(E = {t_{\frac{\alpha }{2},df}} \times \frac{{{s_d}}}{{\sqrt n }}\)

04

Table of the differences

First Born

Second Born

Differences (d)

1005

963

42

1035

1027

8

1281

1272

9

1051

1079

-28

1034

1070

-36

1079

1173

-94

1104

1067

37

1439

1347

92

1029

1100

-71

1160

1204

-44

05

Find the mean of the differences

The mean of the differences of the samples is equal to:

\(\begin{array}{c}\bar d = \frac{{\sum\limits_{i = 1}^n {{d_i}} }}{n}\\ = \frac{{42 + 8 + ... + \left( { - 44} \right)}}{{10}}\\ = - 8.5\end{array}\)

06

Find the standard deviation of the differences

The standard deviation of thedifferences is equal to:

\(\begin{array}{c}s = \sqrt {\frac{{\sum\limits_{i = 1}^n {{{\left( {{d_i} - \bar d} \right)}^2}} }}{{n - 1}}} \;\\ = \sqrt {\frac{{{{\left( {42 - \left( { - 8.5} \right)} \right)}^2} + {{\left( {8 - \left( { - 8.5} \right)} \right)}^2} + \cdots + {{\left( {\left( { - 44} \right) - \left( { - 8.5} \right)} \right)}^2}}}{{10 - 1}}} \\ = 56.68\end{array}\)

07

Find the critical value

The degrees of freedom will be equal to:

\(\begin{array}{c}{\rm{df}} = n - 1\\ = 10 - 1\\ = 9\end{array}\)

The confidence level is equal to 99%. Thus, the level of significance becomes 0.01.

Therefore,

\(\begin{array}{c}\frac{\alpha }{2} = \frac{{0.01}}{2}\\ = 0.005\end{array}\)

Referring to the t-distribution table, the critical value of t for 9 degrees of freedom at 0.005 significance level is equal to 3.2498.

08

Compute the margin of error

The value of the margin of error is computed below:

\(\begin{array}{c}E = {t_{\frac{\alpha }{2},df}} \times \frac{{{s_d}}}{{\sqrt n }}\\ = {t_{\frac{{0.01}}{2},9}} \times \frac{{56.68}}{{\sqrt {10} }}\\ = 3.2498 \times \frac{{56.68}}{{\sqrt {10} }}\\ = 58.24762\end{array}\)

09

Step 9:Compute the confidence interval

The value of the confidence interval is equal to:

\(\begin{array}{c}\bar d - E < {\mu _d} < \bar d + E\;\\\left( { - 8.5 - 58.24762} \right) < {\mu _d} < \left( { - 8.5 + 58.24762} \right)\\ - 66.75 < {\mu _d} < 49.75\end{array}\)

Thus, the 99% confidence interval is equal to (-66.75,49.75).

10

Interpretation of the confidence interval

It can be seen that the value of 0 is included in the interval.

This implies that the mean of the differences between the brain volumes can be equal to 0.

Thus, there is a possibility that the brain volume of the firstborn is equal to the brain volume of the second born.

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