In Exercises 5–16, use the listed paired sample data, and assume that the samples are simple random samples and that the differences have a distribution that is approximately normal.

Self-Reported and Measured Male Heights As part of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, the Department of Health and Human Services obtained self-reported heights (in.) and measured heights (in.) for males aged 12–16. Listed below are sample results. Construct a 99% confidence interval estimate of the mean difference between reported heights and measured heights. Interpret the resulting confidence interval, and comment on the implications of whether the confidence interval limits contain 0.

Reported

68

71

63

70

71

60

65

64

54

63

66

72

Measured

67.9

69.9

64.9

68.3

70.3

60.6

64.5

67

55.6

74.2

65

70.8

Short Answer

Expert verified

The 99% estimate of confidence interval of the mean difference between reported heights and measured heights is equal to (-4.16 inches,2.16 inches).

The confidence interval shows that there is some difference between reported heights and measured heights. Also, the confidence limits contain 0. Thus, the reported heights and the measured heights can also be equal to 0.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

The given data consists of the self-reported heights and the measured heights of males aged 12-16.

02

Hypotheses

Null Hypothesis: The mean of the differences between the reported heights and measured heights is equal to 0.

\({H_{0\;}}:\;{\mu _d} = 0\)

Alternative Hypothesis:The mean of the differences between the reported heights and measured heights is not equal to 0.\({H_1}\;:{\mu _d} \ne 0\;\..

\({\mu _d}\) is the mean of the population of difference between the reported heights and measured heights.

03

Expression of the confidence interval

The formula of the confidence interval is as follows:

\({\rm{C}}{\rm{.I}} = \bar d - E < {\mu _d} < \bar d + E\;\)

The value of the margin of error € has the following notation:

\(E = {t_{\frac{\alpha }{2},df}} \times \frac{{{s_d}}}{{\sqrt n }}\)

04

Table of the differences

The following table shows the difference between the reported heights and the measured heights:

Reported

68

71

63

70

71

60

65

64

54

63

66

72

Measured

67.9

69.9

64.9

68.3

70.3

60.6

64.5

67

55.6

74.2

65

70.8

Differences(d)

0.1

1.1

-1.9

1.7

0.7

-0.6

0.5

-3

-1.6

-11.2

1

1.2

05

Find the mean of the differences

Now, the mean of the differences between the reported and measured heights is computed below:

\(\begin{array}{c}\bar d = \frac{{\sum\limits_{i = 1}^n {{d_i}} }}{n}\\ = \frac{{0.1 + 1.1 + \cdots + 1.2}}{{12}}\\ = - 1\end{array}\)

06

Find the standard deviation

The standard deviation of the differences between the reported and the measured heights is computed below:

\(\begin{array}{c}s = \sqrt {\frac{{\sum\limits_{i = 1}^n {{{\left( {{d_i} - \bar d} \right)}^2}} }}{{n - 1}}} \;\\ = \sqrt {\frac{{{{\left( {0.1 - \left( { - 1} \right)} \right)}^2} + {{\left( {1.1 - \left( { - 1} \right)} \right)}^2} + \cdots + {{\left( {1.2 - \left( { - 1} \right)} \right)}^2}}}{{12 - 1}}} \\ = 3.520\end{array}\)

07

Find the critical value

The degrees of freedom are computed as follows:

\(\begin{array}{c}{\rm{df}} = n - 1\\ = 12 - 1\\ = 11\end{array}\)

The confidence level is equal to 99%. Thus, the level of significance becomes 0.01.

Therefore,

\(\begin{array}{c}\frac{\alpha }{2} = \frac{{0.01}}{2}\\ = 0.005\end{array}\)

Referring to the t-distribution table, the critical value of t for 11 degrees of freedom at 0.005 significance level is equal to 3.1058.

08

Compute the margin of error

The margin of error is equal to:

\(\begin{array}{c}E = {t_{\frac{\alpha }{2},df}} \times \frac{s}{{\sqrt n }}\\ = {t_{\frac{{0.01}}{2},11}} \times \frac{{3.520}}{{\sqrt {12} }}\\ = 3.1058 \times \frac{{3.520}}{{\sqrt {12} }}\\ = 3.155518\end{array}\)

09

Step 9:Compute the confidence interval

The confidence interval is computed as follows:

\(\begin{array}{c}\bar d - E < {\mu _d} < \bar d + E\;;\\\left( { - 1 - 3.155518} \right) < {\mu _d} < \left( { - 1 + 3.155518} \right)\\ - 4.16 < {\mu _d} < 2.16\end{array}\)

Thus, the 99% confidence interval is equal to (-4.16 inches,2.16 inches).

10

Interpretation of the confidence interval

It can be seen that the value of 0 is included in the interval.

This implies that the differences between the reported heights and the measured heights can be equal to 0.

Thus, there is not enough evidence to conclude that thereported heights and measured heights are not equal.

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