One-Sided Confidence Interval A one-sided claim about a population proportion is a claim that the proportion is less than (or greater than) some specific value. Such a claim can be formally addressed using a one-sided confidence interval for p, which can be expressed as \(p < \hat p - E\)or\(p > \hat p + E\), where the margin of error E is modified by replacing \({z_{\frac{\alpha }{2}}}\)with\({z_\alpha }\). (Instead of dividing a between two tails of the standard normal distribution, put all of it in one tail.) The Chapter Problem refers to a Gallup poll of 1487 adults showing that 43% of the respondents have Facebook pages. Use that data to construct a one-sided 95% confidence interval that would be suitable for helping to determine whether the proportion of all adults having Facebook pages is less than 50%.

Short Answer

Expert verified

The 95% one-sided confidence interval is \(p < 0.409\).

There is sufficient evidence that the proportion of all adults having Facebook pages is less than 50%, as the upper limit of the confidence interval is less than 0.5.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

In a survey of 1487 adults, 43% of them have Facebook pages. It is claimed that less than 50% of adults have Facebook pages.

02

Confidence interval estimate of the population proportion

The following formula of the confidence interval is used:

\(p < \hat p - E\)

Here, E is the margin of error and has the following formula:

\(E = {z_\alpha } \times \sqrt {\frac{{\hat p\hat q}}{n}} \)where

\(\hat p\)is the sample proportion of adults who have Facebook pages

\(\hat q\)is the sample proportion of adults who do not have Facebook pages

n is the sample size

\({z_\alpha }\) is the one-tailed critical value of z.

03

Sample size and sample proportions

The sample size (n) is equal to 1487.

The sample proportion ofadults who have Facebook pages is equal to:

\(\begin{array}{c}\hat p = 43\% \\ = \frac{{43}}{{100}}\\ = 0.43\end{array}\)

The sample proportion of adults who do not have Facebook pages is equal to:

\(\begin{array}{c}\hat q = 1 - \hat p\\ = 1 - 0.43\\ = 0.57\end{array}\)

04

Step 4:Find the margin of error

The value of \(\alpha \) is equal to 0.05.

Thus, \({z_\alpha }\) is equal to 1.645.

The margin of error can be computed as shown below:

\(\begin{array}{c}E = {z_\alpha } \times \sqrt {\frac{{\hat p\hat q}}{n}} \\ = 1.645\; \times \sqrt {\frac{{0.43 \times 0.57}}{{1487}}} \\ = 0.0211\end{array}\) \(\)

05

Find the confidence interval

The one-sided confidence interval is computed below:

\(\begin{array}{c}p < \hat p - E\\ < 0.43 - 0.211\\ < 0.409\end{array}\)

Here, it can be observed that the population proportion of adults having Facebook pages is less than 0.409 or 40.9%.

Therefore, the given claim that the proportion of adults having Facebook pages is less than 50% is supported.

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