Using Normal Approximation. In Exercises 5–8, do the following: If the requirements of np5and nq5are both satisfied, estimate the indicated probability by using the normal distribution as an approximation to the binomial distribution; if np<5ornq<5 , then state that the normal approximation should not be used.

Births of Boys With n = 20 births and p = 0.512 for a boy, find P(fewer than 8 boys).

Short Answer

Expert verified

The probability of fewer than 8 boys is equal to 0.1093.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

A sample of 20 births is considered. The proportion of boys (p) is equal to 0.512.

02

Check the requirement necessary for normal approximation

It is required thatnp5 and nq5.

The values are computed below:

np=200.512=10.245

nq=201-0.512=9.765

As the requirement is fulfilled, the normal approximation can be applied to compute the probability value.

03

Mean and Standard Deviation

The mean value is equal to:

μ=np=20×0.512=10.24

The standard deviation is equal to

σ=npq=20×0.512×0.488=2.235

04

Continuity Correction

Let x represent the number of boys in the sample.

Here, x is equal to 8.

The value of x is transformed as follows:

x-0.5,x+0.5=8-0.5,8+0.5=7.5,8.5

It is required to compute the probability of fewer than 8 boys. Thus, the probability to the left of 7.5 needs to be computed.

05

z-score

The z score value is equal to:

z=x-μσ=7.5-10.242.235=-1.23

The z-score is -1.23.

Referring to the standard normal distribution, the area to the left of -1.23 is equal to 0.1093.

Therefore, the probability of fewer than 8 boys is equal to 0.1093.

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