: In Exercises 1–10, use the data in the accompanying table and express all results in decimal form. (The data are from “Mortality Reduction with Air Bag and Seat Belt Use in Head-On Passenger Car Collisions,” by Crandall, Olson, and Sklar, American Journal of Epidemiology, Vol. 153, No. 3.) Drivers Involved in Head-On Collision of Passenger Cars.

Drivers Involved in Head-On Collision of Passenger Cars


Driver Killed

Driver Not killed

Seatbelt Used

3655

7005

Seatbelt not Used

4402

3040

All Three Successful If 3 drivers are randomly selected without replacement, find the probability that none of them were killed.

Short Answer

Expert verified

The probability that none of the three randomly selected drivers are killed when selected without replacement is 0.171.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

The counts of drivers involved in a head-on collision are categorized.

02

Define multiplication rule

Consider n events that occur together be defined as A1,A2,...,Anwhich occur simultaneously. Then, the probability of the joint of occurrence is stated below.

PA1andA2and...andAn=PA1×PA2×...×PAn

In case the events occur without replacement, the probability of successive events changes.

03

Step 3:Compute the probability of individual events

The additive total for each row or column is:


Driver Killed

Driver Not killed

Total

Seatbelt Used

3655

7005

10660

Seatbelt not Used

4402

3040

7442

Total

8057

10045

18102

Define the events as follows:

A: Event of randomly selecting the first driver who was killed

B: Event of randomly selecting the second driver who was killed

C: Event of randomly selecting the third driver who was killed

The number of drivers who were killed is 10045.

The total number of drivers who were killed is 18102.

The probability of selecting the first driver who was not killed is:

PA=1004518102

The number of drivers who were killed, after selecting the first one, is 10044.

The total number of drivers who were killed, after selecting the first one, is 18101.

The probability of selecting the second driver who was not killed is:

PB=1004418101

The number of drivers who were killed, after selecting the second one, is 10043.

The total number of drivers who were killed, after selecting the first one, is 18100.

The probability of selecting the third driver who was not killed is:

PC=1004318100

04

Compute the overall probability 

Using the multiplication rule, the probability that none of the drivers was killed when selected without replacement is:

PAandBandC=1004518102×1004418101×1004318100=0.17080.171

Thus, the probability that none of the three drivers was killed when selected without replacement is 0.171.

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