In Exercises 21–24, use these results from the “1-Panel-THC” test for marijuana use, which is provided by the company Drug Test Success: Among 143 subjects with positive test results, there are 24 false positive results; among 157 negative results, there are 3 false negative results. (Hint: Construct a table similar to Table 4-1, which is included with the Chapter Problem.)

Testing for Marijuana Use If one of the test subjects is randomly selected, find the probability that the subject tested negative or used marijuana.

Short Answer

Expert verified

The probability of selecting a subject who tested negative or used marijuana is equal to 0.92.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

The given data shows the number of positive and negative drug test results of the subjects.

The values are categorized as true and false results.

02

Addition rule of probability

For two events A and B, the probability of occurrence of only A, only B, or both is computed as shown below:

PAorB=PA+PB-PAandB

Here, PAandB is the probability of A andB occurring together.

03

Calculation

The table below shows the number of subjects that fall into each category:


True Result

False Result

Total

Subject Tested Positive

143 – 24 = 119

24

143

Subject Tested Negative

157 – 3 =154

3

157

Total

273

27

Grand Total=300

The total number of subjects is equal to 300.

Let E be the event of selecting a subject who tested negative.

Let Fbe the event of selecting a subject who used marijuana.

The number of subjects who tested negative is equal to 157.

The number of subjects who used marijuana is equal to:

TruePositive+FalseNegative=119+3=122

So, the corresponding probabilities are:

PE=157300PF=122300

The number of subjects who tested negative and used marijuana is equal to the number of subjects who tested false. Thus, it is equal to 3.

PEandF=3300

Theprobability of selecting a subject who tested negative or used marijuana is equal to:

PEorF=PE+PF-PEandF=157300+122300-3200=276300=0.92

Therefore, the probability of selecting a subject who tested negative or used marijuana is equal to 0.92.

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Negative Test Result

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480 (True Negative)

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