Shared Birthdays Find the probability that of 25 randomly selected people, at least 2 share the same birthday.

Short Answer

Expert verified

The probability that out of 25 people, at least two share the same birthday is equal to 0.569.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

Out of 25 selected people, at least two should share the same birthday.

02

Probability of “at least one”

The chances that at least one of the outcomes appears is complementary to the event that none of the outcomes appears.

For any given event A, it has the following notation:

PAoccurringatleastonce=1-PAnotoccurring

03

Compute the probability of having unique birthdays

The probability that out of 25 people, at least two have the same birthday is equal to one minus the probability that two people have the same birthday (all unique birthdays).

Assume that the total number of days is 365 in a year.

The favorable number of outcomes for each person decreases by one as they have unique birthdays.

The probability that all 25 people have unique birthdays is computed as follows:

Palluniquebirthdays=365365×364365×363365×...×34136525selections=0.4313

04

Compute the probability that at least two have the same birthday

The probability that at least two persons have the same birthday is computed as follows:

Patleast2havethesamebirthday=1-Palluniquebirthdays=1-0.4313=0.569

Therefore, the probability that at least two persons have the same birthday is equal to 0.569.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Surge Protectors Refer to the accompanying figure showing surge protectors p and q used to protect an expensive television. If there is a surge in the voltage, the surge protector reduces it to a safe level. Assume that each surge protector has a 0.985 probability of working correctly when a voltage surge occurs.

a. If the two surge protectors are arranged in series, what is the probability that a voltage surge will not damage the television? (Do not round the answer.)

b. If the two surge protectors are arranged in parallel, what is the probability that a voltage surge will not damage the television? (Do not round the answer.)

c. Which arrangement should be used for better protection?

Denomination Effect. In Exercises 13–16, use the data in the following table. In an experiment to study the effects of using a \(1 bill or a \)1 bill, college students were given either a \(1 bill or a \)1 bill and they could either keep the money or spend it on gum. The results are summarized in the table (based on data from “The Denomination Effect,” by Priya Raghubir and Joydeep Srivastava, Journal of Consumer Research, Vol. 36).

Purchased Gum

Kept the Money

Students Given A \(1 bill

27

46

Students Given a \)1 bill

12

34

Denomination Effect

a. Find the probability of randomly selecting a student who spent the money, given that the student was given four quarters.

b. Find the probability of randomly selecting a student who spent the money, given that the student was given a $1 bill.

c. What do the preceding results suggest?

Probability of At Least One Let A = the event of getting at least 1 defective iPhone when 3 iPhones are randomly selected with replacement from a batch. If 5% of the iPhones in a batch are defective and the other 95% are all good, which of the following are correct?

a. = (0.95)(0.95)(0.95) = 0.857

b. P(A) = 1 - (0.95)(0.95)(0.95) = 0.143

c. P(A) = (0.05)(0.05)(0.05) = 0.000125

Exclusive Or The exclusive or means either one or the other events occurs, but not both.

a. For the formal addition rule, rewrite the formula for P(A or B) assuming that the addition rule uses the exclusive or instead of the inclusive or.

b. Repeat Exercise 11 “Fast Food Drive-Thru Accuracy” using the exclusive or instead of the inclusive or.

Finding Complements. In Exercises 5–8, find the indicated complements.

LOL A U.S. Cellular survey of smartphone users showed that 26% of respondents answered “yes” when asked if abbreviations (such as LOL) are annoying when texting. What is the probability of randomly selecting a smartphone user and getting a response other than “yes”?

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