Since 1973, Gallup has asked Americans how much confidence they have in a variety of U.S. institutions. One question asked of those polled is whether they have a great deal of confidence in banks. In 2007, of a random sample of 1008adult Americans, 413said yes; and, in 2013, of a random sample of 1529adult Americans, 398said yes. For the two years, find and interpret a95% confidence interval for the difference between the percentages of adult Americans who had a great deal of confidence in banks.

Short Answer

Expert verified

The difference in adult-American percentages is 0.1118 to 0.1868.

Step by step solution

01

 Step 1: Given information 

Given in the question that, Since1973,Gallup has asked Americans how much confidence they have in a variety of U.S. institutions. One question asked of those polled is whether they have a great deal of confidence in banks. In 2007, of a random sample of1008adult Americans, 413said yes; and, in 2013, of a random sample of 1529adult Americans, 398said yes. we need to find and interpret a 95%confidence interval for the difference between the percentages of adult Americans who had a great deal of confidence in banks For the two years.

we need to use the two-proportions plus four z-interval procedure to find the required confidence interval.

02

 Step 2: Explanation

The given values are, x1=413,n1=1008,x2=398,n2=1529, and 95%confidence interval.

The formula for p~1is given by,

p~1=x1+1n1+2

Substitute x1=413,n1=1008we get,

=413+11008+2

=0.4099

The formula for p~2is given by,

p~2=x2+1n2+2

Substitute x2=398,n2=1529we get,

=398+11529+2

=0.2606

Calculate the value of α,

95=100(1-α)

The value of z at α/2 from the z-score table is1.96.

03

The required confidence interval 

For the difference between the two-population proportion, the needed confidence interval is determined as,

p~1-p~2±zα/2·p~11-p~1n1+2+p~21-p~2n2+2=(0.4099-0.2606)±1.96

.0.4099(1-0.4099)1008+2+0.2606(1-2606)1529+2

=0.1493±0.0375

=0.1118to 0.1868

As a result, the difference in adult-American percentages is 0.1118 to 0.1868.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

In discussing the sample size required for obtaining a confidence interval with a prescribed confidence level and margin of error, we made the following statement: "... we should be aware that, if the observed value of p^is closer to 0.5than is our educated guess, the margin of error will be larger than desired." Explain why.

One-Proportion Plus-Four z-Interval Procedure. To obtain a plus four z-interval for a population proportion, we first add two successes and two failures to our data (hence, the term "plus four") and then apply Procedure 11.1on page 454to the new data. In other words, in place of p^(which is x/n), we use p~=(x+2)/(n+4). Consequently, for a confidence level of 1-α, the endpoints of the plus-four z-interval are

p~±za/2·p~(1-p~)/(n+4)

As a rule of thumb, the one-proportion plus-four z-interval procedure should be used only with confidence levels of 90% or greater and sample sizes of 10 or more.

1Neutropenia. Neutropenia is an abnormally low number o neutrophils (a type of white blood cell) in the blood. Chemotherapy often reduces the number of neutrophils to a level that makes the patient susceptible to fever and infections. G. Bucaneve et al. published a study of such cancer patients in the paper "Levofloxacin to Prevent Bacterial Infection in Patients With Cancer and Neutropenia" (New England Journal of Medicine, Vol. 353, No, 10, pp. 977-987). For the study. 375 patients were randomly assigned to receive a daily dose of levofloxacin, and 363 were given a placebo. In the group receiving levofloxacin, fever was present in 243 patients for the duration of neutropenia, whereas fever was experienced by 308 patients in the placebo group.

a. At the1% significance level, do the data provide sufficient evidence to conclude that levofloxacin is effective in reducing the occurrence of fever in such patients?

b. Find a98% confidence level for the difference in the proportions of such cancer patients who would experience fever for the duration of neutropenia

Vasectomies and Prostate Cancer. Refer to Exercise 11.106 and determine and interpret a 98% confidence interval for the difference between the prostate cancer rates of men who have had a vasectomy and those who have not.

Random drug testing. A Harris Poll asked Americans whether state should be allowed to conduct random drug tests on elected officials, of 21355respondents, 79%said "yes"

a. Determine the margin of error for a 99%confidence interval.

b. Without doing any calculation, indicate whether the margin of error is large or smaller for a 90%confidence interval. Explain your answer.

a. Determine the sample proportion.

b. Decide whether using the one-proportion z-test is appropriate.

c. If appropriate, use the one-proportion z-test to perform the specified hypothesis test.

x=16

n=20

H0:p=0.7

Ha:p0.7

a=0.05

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