According to an article in Newsweek, the natural ratio of girls to boys is 100:105. In China, the birth ratio is 100:114(46.7% girls). Suppose you don’t believe the reported figures of the percent of girls born in China. You conduct a study. In this study, you count the number of girls and boys born in 150randomly chosen recent births. There are 60girls and 90boys born of the 150. Based on your study, do you believe that the percent of girls born in China is46.7?

Short Answer

Expert verified

The 95%confidence level shows that the proportion of Chinese girls born falls between 32.16%and 47.84%.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

A hypothesis is a reasonable assumption for a behaviour (plural hypotheses). The scholarly approach involves that an assumption be validated before it can be deemed a factual prediction. Technical speculations are mainly influenced by past results that cannot be fully addressed by established scientific findings.

02

Explanation

Let's start by deciding on the null and alternate hypotheses:

The null hypothesis indicates that the proportion of Chinese girls born is 46.7%, while the alternative hypothesis states that the proportion of Chinese girls born is not 46.7percent.

H0:p=46.7%Ha:p46.7%

The random variable here is the proportion of Chinese girls born. As a result, for this test, we'll utilise the normal distribution.

N0.467,(0.467)(0.533)150

Then the z-test is

z=p'-pp(1-p)n

Here, p'is the observed proportion, and we calculate p'using the following method, where n is the sample size of 50people:

p'=xn

=60150=0.4

Substitute the p'value

z=p'-pp(1-p)n

=-0.0670.04074=-1.645

Let's use the following formula to determine the p-value for a two-tailed test:

P=2×Pz>/zstat/P=2×Pz>1.645P=2×[1-Pz>1.645]

=2×[1-0.95]=2×0.05=0.1

As a result, the value of p=0.10, indicating that the sample proportion probability is not equal to 0.467, but rather 0.467is 0.10. As a result, the normal distribution curve depicts the same.

The null hypothesis is not rejected since the alpha value is 0.05and the p-value is bigger than the alpha value. We don't have enough evidence to say that the proportion of girls born in China isn't 46.7%because the null hypothesis isn't rejected.

Let's calculate the 95%confidence interval now:

=p±z

=0.4±0.0784=(0.3216,0.4784)

As a result, the 95%confidence level shows that the proportion of Chinese girls born falls between 32.16%and 47.84%. Let's use the normal distribution curve to depict the same.

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Studying stats just made me tense,

I had to find some sane defense.

Some light and lifting simple play

To float my math anxiety away.

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Takes my troubles to the sky.

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I blew and blew and this I found

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Varied widely, this I know.

20per blow became the mean

They deviated by 6, and not16.

From counting bubbles, I sure did relax

But now I give to you your task.

Was22a reasonable guess?

Find the answer and pass this test!

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Then, it was time to rise to the task, ninety-five high school and college students I did ask. Viewing all as one group, random sampling to get the scoop. So, I asked each to be true, "Do you believe in angels?" Tell me, do! Hypothesizing at the start, totally believing in my heart that the proportion who said yes would be equal on this test. Lo and behold, seventy-three did arrive, out of the sample of ninety-five. Now your job has just begun, Solve this problem and have some fun.

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