It is believed that a stock price for a particular company will grow at a rate of 5per week with a standard deviation of1. An investor believes the stock won’t grow as quickly. The changes in stock price are recorded for ten weeks and are as follows: 4,3,2, 3, 1,7, 2,1,1, 2. Perform a hypothesis test using a 5%level of significance. State the null and alternative hypotheses, find the p-value, state your conclusion, and identify the Type Iand Type IIerrors.

Short Answer

Expert verified

Type I error is: The stock price of a particular company actually rises at a rate of 5per week, but never at a rate of 5per week.

Type II error is: The stock price of a particular company does not actually rise at a rate of 5per week, but it does rise at a rate of 5per week.

Step by step solution

01

Given Information

This is a check of a single population mean, due to the fact the hassle is set imply modifications inventory price.

We need to test

H0:μ=5versus Ha:μ<5

using α=0.05

Investors do not believe stock prices will grow that fast. Therefore, the<says that it is left.

Random variable X¯is the mean stock price. Distribution for the test is normal because we know the standard deviation i.e.

X¯:Nμ,σn=N5,110

Now we calculate the p-value using the normal distribution for a mean:

P-value=P(x¯<2.6)0

where the sample mean of the problem is given by

2+3++1+210=2.6

The P-value denotes the probability to the left of the sample mean in the normal distribution.

02

Step 2:  Explanation

We can consider that,

α=0.05>0=P-value

Therefore, we reject H0:μ=5. In other words, we do not think a stock price for a particular company will grow at a rate of 5per week but believes the stock won't grow as quickly.

At the 5%significance level, we conclude that is not sufficient evidence to conclude that a stock price for a particular company will grow at a rate of 5per week.

Rejecting the null hypothesis H0when it is true is defined as a type Ierror.

Suppose the null hypothesis H0is as follows:" The stock price of a particular company rises once a week. "

So, Type Ierror is -. Reject the null hypothesis that a stock price for a particular company will not grow at a rate of 5per week when is actually will grow at a rate of 5per week.

Failing to reject the null hypothesis when it is false is defined as a type IIerror.

Therefore, Type IIerror is

Not to reject the null hypothesis that a stock price for a particular company will grow at a rate of 5per week when is actually will not grow at a rate of 5per week.

03

Conclusion

The graph for this problem is:

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Most popular questions from this chapter

"William Shakespeare: The Tragedy of Hamlet, Prince of Denmark," by Jacqueline Ghodsi THE CHARACTERS (in

order of appearance):

• HAMLET, Prince of Denmark and student of Statistics

• POLONIUS, Hamlet’s tutor

• HOROTIO, friend to Hamlet and fellow student

Scene: The great library of the castle, in which Hamlet does his lessons

Act I

(The day is fair, but the face of Hamlet is clouded. He paces the large room. His tutor, Polonius, is reprimanding Hamlet

regarding the latter’s recent experience. Horatio is seated at the large table at right stage.)

POLONIUS: My Lord, how cans’t thou admit that thou hast seen a ghost! It is but a figment of your imagination!

HAMLET: I beg to differ; I know of a certainty that five-and-seventy in one hundred of us, condemned to the whips and

scorns of time as we are, have gazed upon a spirit of health, or goblin damn’d, be their intents wicked or charitable.

POLONIUS If thou doest insist upon thy wretched vision then let me invest your time; be true to thy work and speak to

me through the reason of the null and alternate hypotheses. (He turns to Horatio.) Did not Hamlet himself say, “What piece

of work is man, how noble in reason, how infinite in faculties? Then let not this foolishness persist. Go, Horatio, make a

survey of three-and-sixty and discover what the true proportion be. For my part, I will never succumb to this fantasy, but

deem man to be devoid of all reason should thy proposal of at least five-and-seventy in one hundred hold true.

HORATIO (to Hamlet): What should we do, my Lord?

HAMLET: Go to thy purpose, Horatio.

HORATIO: To what end, my Lord?

HAMLET: That you must teach me. But let me conjure you by the rights of our fellowship, by the consonance of our youth,

but the obligation of our ever-preserved love, be even and direct with me, whether I am right or no.

(Horatio exits, followed by Polonius, leaving Hamlet to ponder alone.)

Act II

(The next day, Hamlet awaits anxiously the presence of his friend, Horatio. Polonius enters and places some books upon the

table just a moment before Horatio enters.)

POLONIUS: So, Horatio, what is it thou didst reveal through thy deliberations?

HORATIO: In a random survey, for which purpose thou thyself sent me forth, I did discover that one-and-forty believe

fervently that the spirits of the dead walk with us. Before my God, I might not this believe, without the sensible and true

avouch of mine own eyes.

POLONIUS: Give thine own thoughts no tongue, Horatio. (Polonius turns to Hamlet.) But look to’t I charge you, my Lord.

Come Horatio, let us go together, for this is not our test. (Horatio and Polonius leave together.)

HAMLET: To reject, or not reject, that is the question: whether ‘tis nobler in the mind to suffer the slings and arrows of

outrageous statistics, or to take arms against a sea of data, and, by opposing, end them. (Hamlet resignedly attends to his

task.)

(Curtain falls)

Draw the graph of a two-tailed test.

"Asian Family Reunion," by Chau Nguyen every two years it comes around. We all get together from different towns. In my honest opinion, It's not a typical family reunion. Not forty, or fifty, or sixty, But how about seventy companions! The kids would play, scream, and shout One minute they're happy, another they'll pout. The teenagers would look, stare, and compare from how they look to what they wear. The men would chat about

their business . That they make more, but never less. Money is always their subject and there's always talk of more new projects. The women get tired from all of the chats. They head to the kitchen to set out the mats. Some would sit and some would stand eating and talking with plates in their hands. Then come the games and the songs and suddenly, everyone gets along! With all that laughter, it's sad to say that it always ends in

the same old way. They hug and kiss and say "good-bye" and then they all begin to cry! I say that 60 percent shed their tears but my mom counted 35 people this year. She said

that boys and men will always have their pride, so we won't ever see them cry. I myself don't think she's correct, so could you please try this problem to see if you object?

H0:p=0.5,Ha:p0.5

Assume the p-value is 0.2564. What type of test is this? Draw the picture of the p-value.

Over the past few decades, public health officials have examined the link between weight concerns and teen girls' smoking. Researchers surveyed a group of 273 randomly selected teen girls living in Massachusetts (between 12 and 15 years old). After four years the girls were surveyed again. Sixty-three said they smoked to stay thin. Is there good evidence that more than thirty percent of the teen girls smoke to stay thin?

After conducting the test, your decision and conclusion are

a. Reject H0: There is sufficient evidence to conclude that more than 30% of teen girls smoke to stay thin.

b. Do not reject H0: There is not sufficient evidence to conclude that less than 30% of teen girls smoke to stay thin.

c. Do not reject H0: There is not sufficient evidence to conclude that more than 30% of teen girls smoke to stay thin.

d. Reject H0: There is sufficient evidence to conclude that less than 30% of teen girls smoke to stay thin.

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