The probability that a male develops some form of cancer in his lifetime is 0.4567. The probability that a male has at least one false positive test result (meaning the test comes back for cancer when the man does not have it) is 0.51. Some of the following questions do not have enough information for you to answer them. Write “not enough information” for those

answers. Let C = a man develops cancer in his lifetime and P = man has at least one false positive.

a. P(C) = ______

b. P(P|C) = ______

c. P(P|C') = ______

d. If a test comes up positive, based upon numerical values, can you assume that man has cancer? Justify numerically and explain why or why not.

Short Answer

Expert verified

a) Probability of C P(C) is 0.4567

b) P(P|C)cannot be determined

c) P(P|C')cannot be determined

d) This statement is unpredictable and unjustified.

Step by step solution

01

(a) To find Probability of P(C)

Following are the details given in the question

The probability that a male affected by cancer in his lifetime is 0.4567

The probability that a male has at least one false positive test result is 0.51

As given C implies the male develops some form of cancer in his lifetime.

Therefore, Probability of C is

P(C)=0.4567.

02

To find P(P|C)

Following are the details given in the question

The probability that a male affected by cancer in his lifetime is 0.4567

The probability that a male has at least one false positive test result is 0.51

So, here we need P(P|C). But the given information is not sufficient to solve.

Therefore, P(P|C)cannot be determined.

03

To find P(P|C')

Following are the details given in the question

The probability that a male affected by cancer in his lifetime is 0.4567

The probability that a male has at least one false positive test result is 0.51

So, here we need P(P|C'). But the given information is not sufficient to solve.

Therefore, P(P|C')cannot be determined.

04

To justify

If a test comes up positive, assume that man has cancer or not.

Following are the details given in the question

The probability that a male affected by cancer in his lifetime is 0.4567

The probability that a male has at least one false positive test result is 0.51

Hence, 0.51 man has one wrong positive test result.

We cannot assume and justify the man has cancer or not.

Therefore,

This statement is unpredictable and unjustified.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Use the following information to answer the next ten exercises. Forty-eight percent of all Californians registered voters prefer life in prison without parole over the death penalty for a person convicted of first degree murder. Among Latino California registered voters, 55%prefer life in prison without parole over the death penalty for a person convicted of first degree murder. 37.6% of all Californians are Latino. In this problem, let: • C = Californians (registered voters) preferring life in prison without parole over the death penalty for a person convicted of first degree murder. L = Latino Californians. Suppose that one Californian is randomly selected.

Find P(C).

Use the following information to answer the next four exercises. Table 3.15shows a random sample of musicians and how they learned to play their instruments.

Are the events “being a female musician” and “learning music in school” mutually exclusive events?

U and V are mutually exclusive events. P(U) = 0.26; P(V) = 0.37. Find:

a. P(U AND V)

b. P(U|V)

c. P(U OR V)

A box is filled with several party favors. It contains 12

hats, 15 noisemakers, ten finger traps, and five bags of confetti.

Let H = the event of getting a hat.

Let N = the event of getting a noisemaker.

Let F = the event of getting a finger trap.

Let C = the event of getting a bag of confetti.

Find P(C).

A box has two balls, one white and one red. We select one ball, put it back in the box, and select a second ball (sampling with replacement). Find the probability of the following events:

a. Let F = the event of getting the white ball twice.

b. Let G = the event of getting two balls of different colors.

c. Let H = the event of getting white on the first pick.

d. Are F and G mutually exclusive?

e. Are G and H mutually exclusive?

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