Suppose you used Minitab to fit the model y=β0+β1x1+β2x2+ε

to n = 15 data points and obtained the printout shown below.

  1. What is the least squares prediction equation?

  2. Find R2and interpret its value.

  3. Is there sufficient evidence to indicate that the model is useful for predicting y? Conduct an F-test using α = .05.

  4. Test the null hypothesis H0: β1= 0 against the alternative hypothesis Ha: β1≠ 0. Test using α = .05. Draw the appropriate conclusions.

  5. Find the standard deviation of the regression model and interpret it.

Short Answer

Expert verified
  1. From the minitab printout, the prediction equation can be written asy^= 90.10 –1.836x1+ 0.285x2+ ε.

  2. Value of R2is 0.916 meaning that approximately 92% of the variation in the regression is explained by the model. Higher the value of R2, better fit the model is for the data. Since 91.6% is a very high number, it can be concluded that the model is a good fit for the data.

  3. At 95% confidence interval, it can be concluded thatβ1β20.

  4. At 95% confidence interval, it can be concluded thatβ1=0 .

  5. s2=104.9230.

Step by step solution

01

Least square prediction equation

From the minitab printout, the prediction equation can be written asy^=90.101.836x1+0.285x2+ε

02

R2 interpretation

Value of R2 is 0.916 meaning that approximately 92% of the variation in the regression is explained by the model. Higher the value of R2, better fit the model is for the data. Since 91.6% is a very high number, it can be concluded that the model is a good fit for the data.

03

F-test

H0:β1=β2=0

Ha: At least one of the parametersβ1orβ2is non zero

Here, F test statistic = SSEn-(k+1)=136415-3=113.667

Value of F0.05,15,15 is 2.475

H0 is rejected if F statistic > F0.05,15,15. For α=0.05, since F > F0.05,15,15 Sufficient evidence to reject Ho at 95% confidence interval.

Therefore, β1β20

04

Significance of β1

H0:β1=0

Ha: β1≠ 0

Here, t-test statistic =β^1sβ^1=-1.8360.367=-5.002

Value oft0.025,14is 2.145

H0 is rejected if t statistic > t0.05,24,24. For α=0.05, since t < t0.05,31 Not sufficient evidence to reject Ho at 95% confidence interval.

Therefore, β1=0 .

05

Standard deviation

The standard deviation of the regression model can be calculated as SSEn-2Here, SSE = 1364, s2= 136413=104.9230

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Question: Orange juice demand study. A chilled orange juice warehousing operation in New York City was experiencing too many out-of-stock situations with its 96-ounce containers. To better understand current and future demand for this product, the company examined the last 40 days of sales, which are shown in the table below. One of the company’s objectives is to model demand, y, as a function of sale day, x (where x = 1, 2, 3, c, 40).

  1. Construct a scatterplot for these data.
  2. Does it appear that a second-order model might better explain the variation in demand than a first-order model? Explain.
  3. Fit a first-order model to these data.
  4. Fit a second-order model to these data.
  5. Compare the results in parts c and d and decide which model better explains variation in demand. Justify your choice.

Question: Bus Rapid Transit study. Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) is a rapidly growing trend in the provision of public transportation in America. The Center for Urban Transportation Research (CUTR) at the University of South Florida conducted a survey of BRT customers in Miami (Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting, January 2003). Data on the following variables (all measured on a 5-point scale, where 1 = very unsatisfied and 5 = very satisfied) were collected for a sample of over 500 bus riders: overall satisfaction with BRT (y), safety on bus (x1), seat availability (x2), dependability (x3), travel time (x4), cost (x5), information/maps (x6), convenience of routes (x7), traffic signals (x8), safety at bus stops (x9), hours of service (x10), and frequency of service (x11). CUTR analysts used stepwise regression to model overall satisfaction (y).

a. How many models are fit at step 1 of the stepwise regression?

b. How many models are fit at step 2 of the stepwise regression?

c. How many models are fit at step 11 of the stepwise regression?

d. The stepwise regression selected the following eight variables to include in the model (in order of selection): x11, x4, x2, x7, x10, x1, x9, and x3. Write the equation for E(y) that results from stepwise regression.

e. The model, part d, resulted in R2 = 0.677. Interpret this value.

f. Explain why the CUTR analysts should be cautious in concluding that the best model for E(y) has been found.

Question: The complete modelE(y)=β0+β1x1+β2x2+β3x3+β4x4+εwas fit to n = 20 data points, with SSE = 152.66. The reduced model,E(y)=β0+β1x1+β2x2+ε, was also fit, with

SSE = 160.44.

a. How many β parameters are in the complete model? The reduced model?

b. Specify the null and alternative hypotheses you would use to investigate whether the complete model contributes more information for the prediction of y than the reduced model.

c. Conduct the hypothesis test of part b. Use α = .05.

It is desired to relate E(y) to a quantitative variable x1and a qualitative variable at three levels.

  1. Write a first-order model.

  2. Write a model that will graph as three different second- order curves—one for each level of the qualitative variable.

Cooling method for gas turbines. Refer to the Journal of Engineering for Gas Turbines and Power (January 2005) study of a high-pressure inlet fogging method for a gas turbine engine, Exercise 12.19 (p. 726). Recall that you fit a first-order model for heat rate (y) as a function of speed (x1) , inlet temperature (x2) , exhaust temperature (x3) , cycle pressure ratio (x4) , and airflow rate (x5) . A Minitab printout with both a 95% confidence interval for E(y) and prediction interval for y for selected values of the x’s is shown below.

a. Interpret the 95% prediction interval for y in the words of the problem.

b. Interpret the 95% confidence interval forE(y)in the words of the problem.

c. Will the confidence interval for E(y) always be narrower than the prediction interval for y? Explain.

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