Suppose the events B1and B2are mutually exclusive and complementary events, such thatP(B1)=.75andP(B2)=.25 Consider another event A such that role="math" localid="1658212959871" P(AB1)=.3, role="math" localid="1658213029408" P(AB2)=.5.

  1. FindP(B1A).
  2. FindP(B2A)
  3. Find P(A) using part a and b.
  4. Findrole="math" localid="1658213127512" P(B1A).
  5. Findrole="math" localid="1658213164846" P(B2A).

Short Answer

Expert verified

The values of probabilities in all parts are:

  1. 0.225
  2. 0.125
  3. 0.35
  4. 0.64
  5. 0.357

Step by step solution

01

Important formula

The general rule of multiplication is P(AB)=P(A)×P(BA).

02

Find P(B1∩A).

P(B1A)=P(AB1).P(B1)=(0.3)(0.75)=0.225

So, the values of probabilities in all parts are 0.225

03

Find P(B2∩A)

P(B2A)=P(AB2).P(B2)=(0.25)(0.5)=0.125

Hence, the values of probabilities in all parts are 0.125

04

Find P(A)

P(A)=P(B1A)+P(B2A)=0.225+0.125=0.35

Accordingly, the values of probabilities in all parts are 0.35

05

Find P(B1A)

P(B1A)=P(B1A)P(A)=0.2250.35=0.64

Henceforth, the values of probabilities in all parts are 0.64

06

Find P(B2A)

P(B2A)=P(B2A)P(A)=0.1250.35=0.357

Therefore, the values of probabilities in all parts are 0.357

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Most popular questions from this chapter

An experiment results in one of three mutually exclusive events, A, B, or C. It is known that P (A)= .30, P(B)= .55 , and P(C)= .15. Find each of the following probabilities:

a. P(AB)

b.P(AC)

c. P (A/B)

d. P(BC)

e. Are B and C independent events? Explain.

A sample space contains six sample points and events A, B, and C as shown in the Venn diagram. The probabilities of the sample points are

P (1) = .20, P (2) = .05, P (3) = .30, P (4) = .10,P (5) = .10, P (6) = .25.

a. Which pairs of events, if any, are mutually exclusive? Why?

b. Which pairs of events, if any, are independent? Why?

c. FindP (AB) by adding the probability of the sample points and then using the additive rule. Verify that the answers agree. Repeat forP (AC)

Compute the number of ways can select n element from N element of each of the following:

  1. n=2,N=5
  2. n=3,N=6
  3. n=5,N=20

Which of the following pairs of events are mutually exclusive? Justify your response.

  1. {The next customer entering a retail store is older than 30 years.}, {The next customer entering the same retail store is younger than 20 years.}
  2. {The next customer entering a retail store is younger than 20 years.}, {The next customer entering the same retail store will spend more than \(900 in purchases.}
  3. {The next customer entering the retail store will be older than 70 years and spend more than \)900 in purchases.}, {The next customer entering the same retail store will try to steal an item.}

Performance-based logistics. Refer to the Journal of Business Logistics (Vol. 36, 2015) study of performance-based logistics (PBL) strategies, Exercise 1.15 (p. 49). Recall that the study was based on the opinions of a sample of 17 upper-level employees of the U.S. Department of Defense and its suppliers. The current position (e.g., vice president, manager), type of organization (commercial or government), and years of experience for each team member interviewed are listed below. Suppose we randomly select one of these interviewees for more in-depth questioning on PBL strategies.

a. What is the probability that the interviewee works for a government organization?

b. What is the probability that the interviewee has at least 20 years of experience?

Interviewee

Position

Organization

Experience (years)

1

Vice president

Commercial

30

2

Postproduction

Government

15

3

Analyst

Commercial

10

4

Senior manager (mgr.)

Government

30

5

Support chief

Government

30

6

Specialist

Government

25

7

Senior analyst

Commercial

9

8

Division chief

Government

6

9

Item mgr.

Government

3

10

Senior mgr.

Government

20

11

MRO mgr.

Government

25

12

Logistics mgr.

Government

30

13

MRO mgr.

Commercial

10

14

MRO mgr.

Commercial

5

15

MRO mgr.

Commercial

10

16

Specialist

Government

20

17

Chief

Government

25

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