Chapter 3: Q98SE (page 203)
Two events, A and B, are independent, withand.
a.Are A and B mutually exclusive? Why?
b.Findand.
c.Find.
Short Answer
a. No, event A and B are not mutually exclusive.
b.The values are and .
c. The value of is 0.37.
Chapter 3: Q98SE (page 203)
Two events, A and B, are independent, withand.
a.Are A and B mutually exclusive? Why?
b.Findand.
c.Find.
a. No, event A and B are not mutually exclusive.
b.The values are and .
c. The value of is 0.37.
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Get started for freeConsider the experiment depicted by the Venn diagram, with the sample space S containing five sample points. The sample points are assigned the following probabilities:
a. Calculate .
b. Suppose we know that event A has occurred, so that the reduced sample space consists of the three sample points in A—namely, E1, E2, and E3. Use the formula for conditional probability to adjust the probabilities of these three sample points for the knowledge that A has occurred [i.e., ]. Verify that the conditional probabilities are in the same proportion to one another as the original sample point probabilities.
c. Calculate the conditional probabilityin two ways: (1) Add the adjusted (conditional) probabilities of the sample points in the intersection , as these represent the event that B occurs given that A has occurred; (2) use the formula for conditional probability:
Verify that the two methods yield the same result.
d. Are events A and B independent? Why or why not?
Management system failures. Refer to the Process Safety Progress (December 2004) study of 83 industrial accidents caused by management system failures, Exercise 2.150(p. 142). A summary of the root causes of these 83 incidents is reproduced in the following table. One of the 83 incidents is randomly selected and the root cause is determined.
Management system cause category | Number of incidents |
Engineering and design | 27 |
Procedures and practices | 24 |
Management and oversight | 22 |
Training and communication | 10 |
Total | 83 |
a. List the sample points for this problem and assign reasonable probabilities to them.
b. Find and interpret the probability that an industrial accident is caused by faulty engineering and design.
c. Find and interpret the probability that an industrial accident is caused by something other than faulty procedures and practices.
Evaluating the performance of quality inspectors. The performance of quality inspectors affects both the quality of outgoing products and the cost of the products. A product that passes inspection is assumed to meet quality standards; a product that fails inspection may be reworked, scrapped, or reinspected. Quality engineers at an electric company evaluated performances of inspectors in judging the quality of solder joints by comparing each inspector’s classifications of a set of 153 joints with the consensus evaluation of a panel of experts. The results for a particular inspector are shown in the table. One of the 153 solder joints was selected at random.
Committee’s judgment joint | Joint Acceptable | joint Rejectable |
Joint Acceptable | 101 | 10 |
joint Rejectable | 23 | 19 |
a. What is the probability that the inspector judged the joint to be acceptable? That the committee judged the joint to be acceptable?
b. What is the probability that both the inspector and the committee judged the joint to be acceptable? That neither judged the joint to be acceptable?
c. What is the probability that the inspector and the committee disagreed? Agreed?
Three fair coins are tossed and either heads(H) or tails(T) are observed for each coin.
A= {Three heads are observed}
B= {Exactly two heads are observed}
C= {At least two heads are observed}
Problems at major companies. The Organization Development Journal (Summer 2006) reported on a survey of human resource officers (HROs) at major employers. The focus of the study was employee behaviour, namely, absenteeism and turnover. The study found that 55% of the HROs had problems with employee absenteeism; 41% had problems with turnover. Suppose that 22% of the HROs had problems with both absenteeism and turnover. Use this information to find the probability that an HRO selected from the group surveyed had problems with either employee absenteeism or employee turnover.
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