Why do we generally prefer a probabilistic model to a deterministic model? Give examples for when the two types of models might be appropriate.

Short Answer

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A deterministic model offers a single possible outcome for an event, whereas a probabilistic model offers a probability distribution as a solution.

Step by step solution

01

Introduction.

The outcome of a deterministic model is completely defined by the parameter settings and initial values, whereas probabilistic (or random) models integrate randomness into their approach.

02

Determine why do we choose probabilistic models over deterministic models?

A random element is included in a probabilistic model. Even with the identical beginning circumstances, the model is likely to provide different outcomes each time it is run. A probabilistic model involves some element of random variation. Probabilistic model When we cannot predict y exactly, we utilize a probabilistic model (there will be errors). Assume we wish to give a student a mark on a test depending on the number of hours he studied for the exam.

A deterministic model contains no random components. You will obtain the same results every time you run the model with the identical beginning circumstances. Deterministic model when we can exactly predict y, we employ a deterministic model (with no errors). Assume we wish to anticipate ticket sales at a performance based on the number of tickets sold.

Therefore, this is why probabilistic model is preferred over deterministic model.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Do the accompanying data provide sufficient evidence that a straight line is useful for characterizing the relationship between x and y?

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Y165324

A company is analysing the prices at which its items are sold. Graph the relative frequency histogram for the 600 items summarized in the accompanying relative frequency table.

The equation for a straight line (deterministic model) is

y=β0+β1x

If the line passes through the point (-2, 4), then x = -2, y = 4 must satisfy the equation; that is,

4=β0+β1(-2)

Similarly, if the line passes through the point (4, 6), then x = 4, y = 6 must satisfy the equation; that is,

6=β0+β1(4)

Use these two equations to solve for and ; then find the equation of the line that passes through the points (-2, 4) and (4, 6).

Motivation and right-oriented bias. Evolutionary theory suggests that motivated decision makers tend to exhibit a right-oriented bias. (For example, if presented with two equally valued detergent brands on a supermarket shelf, consumers are more likely to choose the brand on the right.) In Psychological Science (November 2011), researchers tested this theory using data on all penalty shots attempted in World Cup soccer matches (totaling 204 penalty shots). The researchers believed that goalkeepers, motivated to make a penalty-shot save but with little time to make a decision, would tend to dive to the right. The results of the study (percentages of dives to the left, middle, or right) are provided in the table. Note that the percentages in each row corresponding to a particular match situation add to 100%. Use graphs to illustrate the distribution of dives for the three-match situations. What inferences can you draw from the graphs?

Source: Based on M. Roskes et al., "The Right Side? Under Time Pressure, Approach Motivation Leads to Right-Oriented Bias," Psychological Science, Vol. 22, No. 11, November 2011 (adapted from Figure 2)11

Stability of compounds in new drugs. Testing the metabolic stability of compounds used in drugs is the cornerstone of new drug discovery. Two important values computed from the testing phase are the fraction of compound unbound to plasma (fup) and the fraction of compound unbound to microsomes (fumic). A key formula for assessing stability assumes that the fup/fumic ratio is 1. Pharmacologists at Pfizer Global Research and Development investigated this phenomenon and reported the results in ACS Medicinal Chemistry Letters (Vol. 1, 2010). The fup/fumic ratio was determined for each of 416 drugs in the Pfizer database. An SPSS graph describing the fup/fumic ratios is shown below.

a. What type of graph is displayed?

b. What is the quantitative variable summarized in the graph?

c. Determine the proportion of fup/fumic ratios that fall above 1.

d. Determine the proportion of fup/fumic ratios that fall below .4

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