Simulation blunders Explain what’s wrong with each of the following simulation designs.

(a) A roulette wheel has 38colored slots—38 red, 18 black, and 2green. To simulate one spin of the wheel, let numbers 00 to 18 represent red, 19 to 37

represent black, and 38 to 40 represent green.

(b) About 10% of U.S. adults are left-handed. To simulate randomly selecting one adult at a time until you find a left-hander, use two digits. Let 01 to 10 represent being left-handed and 11 to 00 represent being right-handed. Move across a row in Table D, two digits at a time, skipping any numbers that have already appeared, until you find a number between 01 and 10. Record the number of people selected.

Short Answer

Expert verified

Part (a) The Simulation is incorrect.

Part (b) About 10%people are left-handed. In the Simulation, they're almost correct.

Step by step solution

01

Part (a) Step 1. Given Information 

The simulation designs are available for download. It is necessary to determine what is wrong with each of them.

02

Part (a) Step 2. Concept Used  

We can't foresee the outcomes of a chance process, yet they have a regular distribution over a large number of repetitions. According to the law of large numbers, the fraction of times a specific event occurs in numerous repetitions approaches a single number. The likelihood of a chance outcome is its long-run relative frequency. A probability is a number between 0 (never happens) and 1(happens frequently) (always occurs).

03

Part (a) Step 3. Explanation   

There are18red slots, 18black slots, and two green slots on a roulette wheel. Red is represented by the numerals 00to 18, which are 19numbers, i.e. (00,01,02,03,04,05,06,07,08,09,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18)

Black is represented by the numerals 19to 37, which are numbers, i.e.

(19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37)

Green is represented by the numerals 38through 40, which are three numbers (38,39,40)We then notice that we have one number too many for each color, indicating that the stimulation, in this case, is incorrect.

04

Part (b) Step 1. Explanation  

Looking at this section, we can conclude that it is not suitable to skip over numbers that have already occurred because the likelihood of selecting a left-handed person will no longer be 10%If the first person chosen was 09, for example, that person was left-handed. If we omit this number, the number 0008corresponds to left-handed persons, whereas the numbers correspond to right-handed people, implying that we have 9out of 9odds of selecting a left-handed person, which is no longer 10%

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