A Titanic disaster Refer to Exercise 64.

(a) Find P(survived | second class).

(b) Find P(survived).

(c) Use your answers to (a) and (b) to determine whether the events “survived” and “second class” are independent. Explain your reasoning.

Short Answer

Expert verified

Part (a) P (survived | Second class) =0.3602

Part (b) P (survived)=0.3662

Part (c) Yes, not independent.

Step by step solution

01

Part (a) Step 1. Given Information

The 595kids who answered to a school survey regarding breakfast eating are shown in the two-way table below. Assume we choose a student at random. Consider the following events: B: eats breakfast on a regular basis, and M: is a man.

02

Part (a) Step 2. Concept Used

The number of favorable outcomes divided by the total number of possible outcomes equals probability. As a result, the following is a definition of condition probability: P(A|B)=P(AandB)P(B)

03

Part (a) Step 3. Calculation

The person is chosen first class, according to the question. Now we must determine the likelihood that the outcome for "survived to second class" will be positive. Therefore,

P(Secondclassandsurvive)=favorableoutcomespossibleoutcomes=941207

P(Firstclass)=favourableoutcomespossibleoutcomes=94+1671207=2611207

As a result, the conditional probability is:

P(surived|Secondclass)=P(Secondclassandsurvived)P(Firstclass)P(surived|Secondclass)=9412072611207=9426103602

As a result, there's a good chance that the result for "survived to second class" will be positive.

P(surived|Secondclass)=0.3602

04

Part (b) Step 1. Calculation

P(survived)=favorableoutcomespossibleoutcomes=44212070.3662

05

Part (c) Step 1. Calculation

Part (a) and part (b),

P(survivedSecondclass)=942610.3602

P(surived)=favourableoutcomespossibleoutcomes=44212070.3660

They should have the same probability, hence they are not independent.

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