Squirrels and their food supply (3.2) Animal species produce more offspring when their supply of food goes up. Some animals appear able to anticipate unusual food abundance. Red squirrels eat seeds from pinecones, a food source that sometimes has very large crops. Researchers collected data on an index of the abundance of pinecones and the average number of offspring per female over 16years. Computer output from a least-squares regression on these data and a residual plot.

(a) Give the equation for the least-squares regression line. Define any variables you use.

(b) Explain what the residual plot tells you about how well the linear model fits the data.

(c) Interpret the values of r2and s in context.

Short Answer

Expert verified

a). y^=1.4146+0.4399xwith xthe Cone index and ythe average number of offspring per female.

b).The linear model is a good model for the data.

c). The average error made when making predictions is about 0.600309.

Step by step solution

01

Part (a) Step 1: Given Information 

Given in the question that the animal species produce more offspring when their supply of food goes up. Some animals appear able to anticipate unusual food abundance. Red squirrels eat seeds from pinecones, a food source that sometimes has very large crops. Researchers collected data on an index of the abundance of pinecones and the average number of offspring per female over 16years.

02

Part (a) Step 2: Explanation 

General least-squares equation:

y^=a+bx

The coefficients a and b are given in the column "Coef":

a=1.4146

b=0.4399

The least-squares regression equation then becomes:

y^=1.4146+0.4399x

with xthe Cone index and ythe average number of offspring per female.

03

Part (b) Step 1: Given Information 

Given in the question is a computer output from a least-squares regression on these data and a residual plot.

04

Part (b) Step 2: Explanation 

The residual plot shows no discernible trend, and the residuals appear to be centred around 0, indicating that the linear model is a good fit for the data.

05

Part (c) Step 1: Given Information 

Given in the question is a computer output from a least-squares regression on these data and a residual plot.

06

Part (c) Step 2: Explanation 

According to the information,

s=0.600309

r2=57.2%

The value of r2=57.2%means that 57.2%of the variation between the variables has been explained by the linear model.

The figure of localid="1650022974861" s=0.600309indicates that the average forecast error is aroundlocalid="1650022978588" 0.600309.

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