Lightning strikes The number of lightning strikes on a square kilometer of open ground in a year has mean 6and standard deviation 2.4. (These values are typical of much of the (United States.) The National lighting Detection Network (NLDN) uses automatic sensors to watch for lightning in a random sample of 10 one-square-kilometer plots of land.

(a) What are the mean and standard deviation of xthe sample mean number of strikes per square kilometers?

(b) Explain why you can't safely calculate the probability that x<5based on a sample of size 10.

(c) Suppose the NLDN takes a random sample of n=50square kilometers instead. Explain how the central limit theorem allows us to find the probability that the mean number of lightning strikes per square kilometer is less than 5. Then calculate this probability. Show your work.

Short Answer

Expert verified

(a) Mean =2.4

standard deviation =0.75895

(b)x¯cannot be approximately normal distributed.

(c) The probability is0.0934

Step by step solution

01

Part (a) Step-1 Given Information 

Given in the question that,

population meanμ=6

population standard deviationσ=2.4

sample size (n)=10

we have to find the mean and standard deviation of x¯.

02

Part (a) Step-2 Explanation

Formula used:

μx¯=μ

σx=σn

As per central limit theorm,

X~Nμ,σ2n

The mean and standard deviation are:

μx=6

σx¯=2.410=0.75895

Thus the mean and standard deviation are6and0.75895

03

Part (b) Step-1: Given Information 

Given in the question that the probability that x¯<5based on a sample of size 10we have to explain why it can't safely calculate the probability.

04

Part (b) Step-2 Explanation 

In order to use Central Limit theorem,

The population should follow normality and the sample size should be greater than or equal to 30. Here, the distribution of population is unknown and the sample size is also less than 30. Therefore, xcannot be approximately normal distributed.

05

Part (c) Step-1 Given Information 

Given in the question that Suppose the NLDN takes a random sample of n=50square kilometers instead we have to xplain how the central limit theorem allows us to find the probability that the mean number of lightning strikes per square kilometer is less than5

06

Part (c) Step-2: Explanation 

The probability can be calculated as follows:

P(x<5)=P(x¯<5)=Px-μσn<5-μσn

=PZ<5-62.410

=0.0934

the probability is0.0934

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