Is your food safe? (8.1) “Do you feel confident or not confident that the food available at most grocery stores is safe to eat?” When a Gallup poll asked this question, 87% of the sample said they were confident.19 Gallup announced the poll’s margin of error for 95% confidence as ±3 percentage points. Which of the following sources of error are included in this margin of error? Explain your answer.

a. Gallup dialed landline telephone numbers at random and so missed all people without landline phones, including people whose only phone is a cell phone.

b. Some people whose numbers were chosen never answered the phone in several calls or answered but refused to participate in the poll.

c. There is chance variation in the random selection of telephone numbers.

Short Answer

Expert verified

Part (a) Not included.

Part (b) Not included.

Part (c) Included.

Step by step solution

01

Part (a) Step 1: Given information

The margin of error for 95 percent confidence in the poll was ±3 percentage points, according to Gallup.

02

Part (a) Step 2: Explanation

Only sampling error is included in the margin of error:

In addition to sampling errors, there are three types of errors that are not mentioned.

  • Selection bias can exclude a segment of the population
  • Response bias measurement can employ a technique that yields a value that differs significantly from the true value
  • Non-response bias occurs when there isn't enough information for everyone in the sample.

Because not everyone has a chance to be included in the sample, the error is choice bias, which, as we all know, is not contained within the margin of error.

03

Part (b) Step 1: Explanation

Only sampling error is included in the margin of error:

There are three types of errors that sampling error does not cover.

  • Selection bias will cause a portion of the population to be excluded.
  • Measurement or response bias can use a technique that produces a value that is completely different from the true value.
  • Non-response bias occurs when there isn't enough information for everyone in the sample.

Because not everyone in the sample responded, the error is non-response bias, which we all know is beyond the margin of error.

04

Part (c) Step 1: Explanation

Only sampling error is included in the margin of error:

There are three types of errors that sampling error does not cover.

  • Selection bias can exclude a portion of the population
  • Measurement of response bias can employ a technique that yields a value that differs significantly from the truth value
  • Non-response bias occurs when there isn't enough information for everyone in the sample.

The error is attributed to chance, which is lower than sampling error, therefore it is contained within the margin of error.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Awful accidents Slow response times by paramedics, firefighters, and policemen can have serious consequences for accident victims. In the case of life-threatening injuries, victims generally need medical attention within 8minutes of the accident. Several cities have begun to monitor emergency response times. In one such city, emergency personnel took more than 8minutes to arrive on 22%of all calls involving life-threatening injuries last year. The city manager shares this information and encourages these first responders to “do better.” After 6months, the city manager selects an SRS of 400 calls involving life- threatening injuries and examines the response times. She then performs a test at the α=0.05level of H0: p=0.22versus Ha:p<0.22, where pis the true proportion of calls involving life-threatening injuries during this 6-month period for which emergency personnel took more than 8minutes to arrive.

a. Describe a Type I error and a Type II error in this setting.

b. Which type of error is more serious in this case? Justify your answer.

c. Based on your answer to part (b), do you agree with the manager’s choice of α=0.05? Why or why not?

Interpreting a P-value A student performs a test of H0:p=0.3H0:p=0.3versus Ha:p<0.3Ha:p<0.3and gets a P-value of 0.22The student says, "This means there is about a22%chance that the null hypothesis is true." Explain why the student's explanation is wrong.

Losing weight A Gallup poll found that 59% of the people in its sample said “Yes” when asked, “Would you like to lose weight?” Gallup announced: “For results based on the total sample of national adults, one can say with 95% confidence that the margin of (sampling) error is ±3 ±3percentage points.”12 Based on the confidence interval, is there convincing evidence that the true proportion of U.S. adults who would say they want to lose weight differs from 0.55? Explain your reasoning

The standardized test statistic for a test of H0:p=0.4versus Ha:pnotequalto0.4isz=2.43This test is

a. not significant at either α=0.05or α=0.01

b. significant at α=0.05but not atα=0.01

c. significant atα=0.01but not at α=0.05

d. significant at both α=0.05andα=0.01

e. inconclusive because we don’t know the value of p^

Flu vaccine Refer to ExerciseR9.5. Of the 1000 adults who were given the vaccine, 43 got the flu. Do these data provide convincing evidence to support the company’s claim?

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