(a) A loaded die has probabilities121,221,321,421,521,621of showing 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6.What is the probability of throwing two 3’s in succession?

(b) What is the probability of throwing a 4 the first time and not a 4 the second

Time with a die loaded as in (a)?

(c) If two dice loaded as in (a) are thrown, and we know that the sum of the

numbers on the faces is greater than or equal to 10, what is the probability

That both are 5s?

(d) How many times must we throw a die loaded as in (a) to have probability greater than 12of getting an ace?

(e) Adie, loaded as in (a), is thrown twice. What is the probability that thenumber on the die is even the first timethe second time?

Short Answer

Expert verified

Answer

(a) The probability of throwing two 3’s in succession is 149.

(b) The probability of throwing a 4 the first time and not a 4 the second time is 66441.

(c) The probability that both are 5’s when the sum of the numbers on the faces is greater than or equal to 10 is 25169.

(d) The number of times must we throw a die to have probability greater than half of getting an ace is 15.

(e) The probability that the number on the die is even the first time, greater than 4 in the second time is44147.

Step by step solution

01

Given Information

A loaded dice which has a probability of getting 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6 as121,221,321,421,521,621..

02

Definition of Independent Event

The events are said to be independent when the occurrence or non-occurrence of any event does not have any effect on the occurrence or non-occurrence of the other event.

When events are independent, apply the formula PAB=PA·PBwhere A and B are the events.

03

Creating Sample Space for experiment when two die are rolled

When two die are rolled, there are 36 points in the sample space.

Find the sample space for the given problem.

1,11,21,31,41,51,62,12,22,32,42,52,63,13,23,33,43,53,64,14,24,34,44,54,65,15,25,35,45,55,66,16,26,36,46,56,6

04

Finding the probability of throwing two 3’s in succession

When two 3s are to come in succession, the probability will be 321×321-149

Thus the required probability is 149.

05

Finding probability of throwing a 4 the first time and not a 4 the second time

The probability of throwing a 4 is 421and not throwing a 4 is 1-421=1721.

Find the probability of throwing a 4 the first time and not a 4 the secondtime.

421×1721-68441.

Thus the required probability is 68441.

06

Finding the probability that both are 5’s when the sum of the numbers on the faces is greater than or equal to 10

It can be observed that the point in the sample space that has sum greater than or equal to 10 are 4,6,6,4,5,5,5,6,6,5.

Find the probability that the sum of the numbers on the faces is greater than or equal to 10.

421×621+621×521×521+521+621×521+621×621=169441

Find the probability that both numbers are 5.

521×521=25441

Find the probability that both are 5’s when the sum of the numbers on the faces is greater than or equal to 10 using the formula PAB=PABPA.

P5,5=25441169=44125169

Thus the required probability is 25169.

07

Finding the number of times must we throw a die to have probability greater than half of getting an ace

The probability of not getting a one on the die is2021. Similarly, the probability of not getting n-ones is 2021n.

This implies that the probability of getting a one at least one time is 1-2021n.

To have the probability more than half, 1-2021n>12.

Solve the obtained inequality to obtain the value of n.

1-2021n>121>2021nIn12>nln2021n<In12In2021<14.203

The obtained value is not a whole number; thus we can assume that the required number of throws will be 15.

08

Finding the probability that the number on the die is even the first time, greater than 4 in the second time

It can be observed that the point in the sample space that has sum greater than or equal to 10 are 2,5,2,6,4,5,4,6,6,4,6,6.

Find the probability that the number on the die is even the first time, greater than 4 in the second time

221×521+221×621+421×521+421×621+521+621×621=132441=44147

Thus the required probability is 44147.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Set up an appropriate sample space for each of Problems 1.1 to 1.10 and use itto solve the problem. Use either a uniform or non-uniform sample space or try both.

A shopping mall has four entrances, one on the North, one on the South, and twoon the East. If you enter at random, shop and then exit at random, what is theprobability that you enter and exit on the same side of the mall?

(a) Find the probability that in two tosses of a coin, one is heads and one tails. That in six tosses of a die, all six of the faces show up. That in12tosses of a12 -sided die, all12 faces show up. That in n tosses of an n-sided die, all n faces show up.

(b) The last problem in part (a) is equivalent to finding the probability that, when n balls are distributed at random into n boxes, each box contains exactly one ball. Show that for large n, this is approximatelyen2πn.

(a) Note that (3.4) assumes P(A) is not equal to 0 since PA(B)is meaningless if P(A) = 0.

Assuming both P(A) is not equal to 0 and P(B) is not equal to 0, show that if (3.4) is true, then

P(A)=PA(B)that is if B is independent of A, then A is independent of B.

If either P(A) or P(B) is zero, then we use (3.5) to define independence.

(b) When is an event E independent of itself? When is E independent of“not E”?

(a) Repeat Problem 6 where the “circular” area is now on the curved surface of the earth, say all points at distance s from Chicago (measured along a great circle on the earth’s surface) with sπR3where R = radius of the earth. The seeds could be replaced by, say, radioactive fallout particles (assuming these to be uniformly distributed over the surface of the earth). Find F(s)andf(s) .

(b) Also find F(s)andf(s) ifs1<<R (say s1mile where R=4000miles). Do your answers then reduce to those in Problem 6?

Two cards are drawn from a shuffled deck. What is the probability that both areaces? If you know that at least one is an ace, what is the probability that both areaces? If you know that one is the ace of spades, what is the probability that bothare aces?

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