Suppose you have 3 nickels and 4 dimes in your right pocket and 2 nickels and a quarter in your left pocket. You pick a pocket at random and from it select a coin at random. If it is a nickel, what is the probability that it came from your right pocket?

Short Answer

Expert verified

Answer

The probability of the nickel coming from the right pocket is 923.

Step by step solution

01

Given Information

There are 3 nickels and 4 dimes in the right pocket and 2 nickels and a quarter in the left pocket

02

Definition of Independent Event

The events are said to be independent when the occurrence or non-occurrence of any event does not have any effect on the occurrence or non-occurrence of the other event.

03

Finding the probability that of picking a nickel

Let A be the event that a nickel is picked.

There are total 7 coins in right pocket out of which 3 are nickels and total 3 coins in the left pocket out of which 2 are nickels.

Find the probability of picking a nickel from any pocket.

PA=34+3+22+1=37+23=2321

04

Finding the probability of picking the nickel from right pocket.

Find the probability of picking the nickel from right pocket using the Bayes theorem, PAB=AABPA.

role="math" localid="1654837853424" PAB=372321=923

Thus, the desired probability is 923.

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